Iran’s president asserts no hostility toward ordinary Americans. The ceasefire by April 7 market drops to 8% YES, down from 10% yesterday. Despite ongoing conflict, the April 30 market holds at 38.5% YES, indicating traders […]
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan notes that Asian currencies recovered as risk sentiment improved following comments from US President Trump on ending the Iran war, even as Oil prices stayed elevated. He remains skeptical […]
The US has sent 18 more A-10 aircraft to the Middle East as part of Operation Epic Fury. The odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 are now at 54% YES, down from […]
What to know: Ethereum price holds above $2,000 as traders watch for the next major breakout move. ETH trades at $2,129 as rising volume and open interest signal stronger market activity. Analysts say $2,300 to […]
What to know: Algorand (ALGO) records strong short-term gains with rising market activity. The technical structure shows a long-term downtrend with breakout potential. Staking expansion boosts adoption and may support price stability. Market sentiment improves […]
Paradigm is building a pro‑grade prediction market terminal, eyeing an internal MM unit and S&P‑style index product as Kalshi’s valuation jumps to $22B on surging volumes. Summary Paradigm is developing a professional-grade prediction market terminal […]
Iran claims a US-Israel surrender, but military strikes continue. Odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are at 7.5% YES, down from 10% yesterday. The claim seems rhetorical, as US-Israel operations under Operation Epic […]
Whitaker’s remarks on engaging with Iran have slightly lowered the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 to 8% YES, down from 10% yesterday. Longer-term markets show more movement. The April 15 odds are […]
EDX Markets, the crypto exchange backed by Citadel Securities, has applied to become a national trust bank, according to a filing made public Wednesday and first reported by Bloomberg. If approved by the Office of […]
Israel’s skepticism about a US-Iran agreement has pressured diplomatic efforts, affecting ceasefire odds. The chance of a ceasefire by April 7 is at 8.5% YES, slightly up from 8% yesterday but down from 18% a […]
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