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美联储 6 月维持利率不变概率为 95%，7 月为 87.9%
ChainCatcher 消息，据金十报道，CME “美联储观察”显示，美联储到 6 月维持利率不变的概率为 95%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 5%。到 7 月，维持利率不变的概率为 87.9%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 11.7%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 0.4%。 Source link
Month: April 2026
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Trump nominated for 2026 Nobel Peace Prize with support from Cambodia, Israel, Pakistan
## Market Snapshot The market for Donald Trump winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 is currently priced with notable interest, with recent developments potentially increasing the perceived likelihood. No recent specific odds have been […]
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Bitso: Stablecoins top Bitcoin for Latin America crypto purchases
Latin America’s crypto adoption path is pivoting toward stablecoins in 2025, reflecting how local conditions—high inflation, currency depreciation, and uneven access to traditional banking—shape user behavior. Bitso’s 2025 crypto adoption report, drawn from nearly 10 […]
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Nvidia may surpass Apple as largest company by market cap, odds suggest
## Market Snapshot Largest Company by Market Cap Predictions: Odds for NVIDIA being the largest by June 30 are priced at 67.5% YES. Recent activity shows May 31 odds at 78.3% YES, down from previous […]
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Evernorth XRP names OpenAI CFO to its board
Ripple-backed XRP treasury company Evernorth has named OpenAI Foundation CFO Robert Kaiden and Antalpha COO Derar Islim as independent directors in its second SEC S-4 amendment, bringing AI and institutional finance expertise onto the board […]
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Iran accuses US of maritime piracy, impacting ceasefire talks
## Market Snapshot Iran’s foreign ministry statement has impacted the US-Iran ceasefire market, now at 0.5% YES, down from 1% a day ago. The likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 has also […]
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Alphabet market cap surges $0.4T after strong earnings, challenges Microsoft
## Market Snapshot Market: Largest company by December 2026 Current Pricing: 0.9% YES for Microsoft Trend: Steady at 0.9% YES over the past week ## Key Takeaways – Alphabet’s market cap increase suggests reduced likelihood […]
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Democrat Senators question Howard Lutnick over Tether ties
A pair of US Senators are demanding answers from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick after a recent news report raised questions about his relationship with Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin issuer.A trust benefitting Lutnick’s four children […]
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IDF struggles with Hezbollah drone threat, impacting Lebanon withdrawal plans
## Market Snapshot Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon market shows a 0.1% YES for April 30, 2026, unchanged from 24 hours ago. The June 30, 2026, sub-market is priced at 9% YES, down from 10% a […]
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Visa stablecoin pilot hits $7B on nine blockchains
Visa added Base, Polygon, Canton, Arc, and Tempo to its global stablecoin settlement pilot on April 29, bringing the total to nine supported blockchains and reaching a $7 billion annualized settlement run rate, up 50% […]
