The Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Fed Chair, and the DOJ dropped its probe into Jerome Powell, pushing the market for Warsh’s confirmation by May 15 to 96.3% YES, up from 93% […]
Israel’s Channel 12 reports Netanyahu will soon talk to Trump after his rejection of an Iranian proposal. The odds of Iran agreeing to surrender its uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026, are at 0.5% YES, […]
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady Wednesday, leaving markets with a widely expected pause while traders turned their attention to Chair Jerome Powell’s possible final FOMC press conference. The Federal Open Market Committee kept […]
DeFi projects have scrambled to raise over $300M to compensate Kelp’s rsETH holders after the April 18 exploit. Ethereum reaching $2,400 on April 29 sits at 2% YES, with no real price movement despite the […]
Senator Cynthia Lummis told the Bitcoin 2026 conference that the Lummis CLARITY Act warning centers not just on the 2030 timeline but on a structural argument: the current simultaneous alignment between the House, Senate, and […]
Fence netted $20 million from Galaxy Digital to tokenize a $6 trillion asset‑backed finance market that still runs on manual, legacy rails. Summary Blockchain finance startup Fence has raised $20 million in funding led by […]
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only. WHITE TECH secures MiCA authorization in Croatia to operate as a regulated crypto-asset service […]
Bitcoin’s price has dipped below $76,000 as geopolitical tensions and technical pressures mount. The probability of Bitcoin being above $68,000 on May 1 sits at 99.4% YES, unchanged from earlier levels. The drop has not […]
Iran’s Parliament Speaker’s Deputy made a hardline statement demanding American concessions, and the market for no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 now sits at 25.2% YES, up from 16% a day ago. The odds […]
Hezbollah’s deployment of fiber-optic FPV drones in Lebanon is raising tensions and complicating Israel’s security position. The odds of the Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extending by April 26, 2026 sit at 99.8% YES, down slightly […]
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