## Market Snapshot The market for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 40.9% YES, reflecting a recent increase from 33% 24 hours ago. This suggests a decreasing likelihood of […]
Canada’s Alberta Investment Management Corporation disclosed a $219 million purchase of Strategy Inc. shares, marking the pension giant’s first-ever allocation to a bitcoin-linked asset. Key Takeaways: AIMCo, Canada’s $195B asset manager, bought 1.38 million MSTR […]
## Market Snapshot Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions show a 0.1% YES probability for April 30, consistent with recent assessments. The May 31 sub-market is priced at 8.2% YES, showing slight movement in recent days. ## Key […]
## Market Snapshot Best AI Model by May: Odds are currently uncertain, with no specific pricing details available. Google Stock Price Predictions: Market priced at 100% YES for reaching $310 in April. ## Key Takeaways […]
April 2026 now ranks as the most-hacked month in crypto history, by number of incidents. Source link
Coinbase’s CUSHY is expanding institutional credit onchain through a tokenized fund for qualified investors. The strategy links stablecoin settlement, tokenized shares, and credit exposure as stablecoin volume exceeded $33 trillion in 2025. Key Takeaways: Coinbase […]
ChainCatcher 消息，a16z Crypto 政策主管兼总法律顾问 Miles Jennings 等人撰文《正确监管预测市场》（Getting prediction market regulation right），其中指出美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）当前推进预测市场监管框架改革正值关键时期，预测市场正从小众产品迈向重要基础设施。结合 AI 与区块链驱动的新型风险管理模式之后，预测市场可实现 AI 代理自动进行风险对冲、实时调整链上事件合约头寸，并在风险管理、信息聚合及真伪判断方面发挥核心作用。a16z Crypto 认为，若监管框架过于保守，将限制预测市场发展潜力，因此已提交一封评论信，就法定核心原则和 CFTC 规章在预测市场中的应用、与事件合约相关的公共利益考虑等其他关键问题提供意见，同时给出五项预测市场监管建议，包括：美国商品期货交易委员会对事件合约实行统一监管权、优化合约纠纷解决机制、加强内幕交易与市场操纵监测，重新审视“特殊规则”，以及探索为链上预测市场提供更清晰的合规路径。 Source link
A crypto market analyst has suggested that XRP appears to be forming “one of its most significant multi-year structural patterns to date,” which could lead the altcoin to a rally similar to its 2017 expansion. […]
XRP is closing out April at $1.37, as it has surrendered the tentative momentum it built through the middle of the month. A promising RSI setup that had buyers eyeing a potential channel breakout less […]
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, the probability of a blockade lift by May 31 stands at 40.5% YES, down from 44% 24 hours ago. The “Next US x Iran Diplomatic […]
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