Who wins the $114 trillion tokenization race

Stellar competes in payments too, with a long history in remittances and a partnership with MoneyGram that put it on the map for cash-to-crypto access. But it has not matched XRP’s commercial depth in bank-facing cross-border settlement, and its token does not capture payment flows the way XRP’s ODL does, because Stellar’s model leans more on stablecoins moving across the network than on the native token serving as the universal bridge.

So in payments, the scoreboard favors XRP: more volume, more corridors, deeper bank relationships, and a token-demand mechanism wired directly into the payment flow. If the tokenization race never materialized and the contest were purely about moving money across borders, XRP would be the clear leader. But the tokenization race is materializing, and that is where Stellar landed the bigger blow.

The tokenization race: Stellar’s DTCC bombshell

In tokenized securities, the infrastructure for putting stocks, bonds, and funds on-chain, Stellar secured the endorsement that reframes the entire competition.

The DTCC, the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation, is the unglamorous but enormously powerful backbone of US securities settlement, the entity through which a vast share of American stock and bond trades clear. Its plan to bring tokenized stocks, ETFs, and Treasuries directly onto Stellar is, by a wide margin, the most significant institutional validation any payment-focused token has received. This is not a fintech startup or a single bank running a pilot. It is the central plumbing of US capital markets choosing Stellar as a venue for tokenized assets. For a network competing to become RWA settlement infrastructure, there is no bigger reference customer.

Stellar’s broader RWA credentials reinforce it. Franklin Templeton’s tokenized money-market fund has operated on Stellar, giving it a track record with a major traditional asset manager, and over a billion dollars in real-world assets had been tokenized on the network heading into 2026. The DTCC deal sits on top of that foundation as the marquee endorsement.

The critical caveat is timing. DTCC’s production testing does not begin until July 2026, and broader availability is not targeted until 2027. So the token-demand implications are still months, possibly more than a year, away. A landmark announcement is not the same as live volume, and Stellar’s win is currently a promise of future activity rather than present flow. That timing gap is the single most important qualifier on the Stellar bull case, and it is why the race is not over despite the size of the endorsement.

The regulatory and ETF race: XRP’s structural edge

Beyond payments and tokenization, two more factors tilt the near-term contest, and both favor XRP.

The first is regulation. The CLARITY Act passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 and, if it becomes law, would permanently write XRP’s commodity classification into federal statute. This matters more than it might sound. The March 17 SEC-CFTC interpretive ruling already gave XRP commodity status, but an agency ruling can be reversed by the next administration, whereas a law cannot. Codified commodity status would remove the last major regulatory blocker for US banks adopting XRP-based ODL and for the broadest range of XRP ETF products. XRP has spent years and a landmark lawsuit earning regulatory clarity, and it is closer to locking it in permanently than any comparable token.

The second is ETF access. Spot XRP ETFs have already drawn $1.41 billion in cumulative inflows, giving institutions a regulated, familiar channel to gain XRP exposure. That infrastructure exists today and is accumulating capital, even if the flows have not moved the price dramatically. Stellar does not have a comparable ETF presence, so XRP holds a structural advantage in institutional accessibility through regulated wrappers.

Put the near-term factors together and XRP leads on three of four fronts: payments volume, regulatory clarity, and ETF access, with Stellar leading decisively on the tokenization endorsement. That scoreboard explains why XRP is the larger, more liquid, more institutionally embedded asset today. But it also sets up the deeper question that determines the long-run winner, and on that question both tokens share the same vulnerability.

The problem both share: value capture

Here is the twist that complicates any simple “who wins” verdict. Both XRP and Stellar face the same fundamental challenge, and it is the one that has kept both tokens’ prices subdued despite their adoption wins.

For XRP, the problem is that banks can use the XRP Ledger without necessarily buying the token. Tokenized assets and stablecoins can sit on and move across the ledger while the activity requires only a fraction of a cent of XRP for transaction fees, not meaningful token purchases. The ledger thrives while the token waits.

For Stellar, the problem is structurally identical and arguably worse in the tokenization context. When the DTCC or Franklin Templeton issues tokenized securities on Stellar, the operation does not require holding XLM beyond trivial transaction costs. The network gets the prestigious business and the settlement volume; the token captures very little of it directly. A tokenized Treasury settling on Stellar generates network activity, but it does not create the kind of XLM buy pressure that would move the price the way the endorsement’s size suggests it should.

This is the shared trap of payment-and-settlement tokens: the more successful they are as neutral infrastructure that institutions adopt without friction, the less those institutions need to touch the native token. XRP’s ODL bridge mechanism is actually the stronger of the two value-capture stories, because it does require buying XRP for each bridged payment, which is why XRP’s payments lead matters for the token specifically and not just for the ledger. Stellar’s tokenization win is larger in prestige but weaker in direct token demand, because tokenized-asset issuance on Stellar does not inherently require XLM. So the race has a paradox at its core: the win that is bigger for the network (Stellar’s DTCC deal) may be smaller for the token, while the win that is more modest in headline terms (XRP’s growing ODL volume) is more directly tied to token demand.

So who actually wins?

The cleanest way to answer is to separate the question into the parts that have different answers, because “who wins” depends entirely on what you are measuring and over what horizon.

On commercial cross-border payments right now, XRP wins. It has the volume, the corridors, the bank relationships, and a token-demand mechanism built into the payment flow. This is a present-tense lead backed by real numbers.

On tokenized securities infrastructure over the long run, Stellar has the stronger position after the DTCC endorsement, the single biggest institutional validation in the space. But this is a future-tense lead, with production testing starting in July 2026 and broad availability not until 2027, so it is a bet on a payoff that has not arrived.

On near-term catalysts and token accessibility, XRP wins, with the CLARITY Act advancing, codified commodity status within reach, and $1.41 billion already in ETFs. The factors most likely to move a token price in the next year favor XRP.

On the deepest question, which token actually captures the value its network creates, neither has solved it, and XRP’s ODL bridge gives it a modest structural edge because that specific mechanism requires buying the token.

The practical synthesis for an investor is that the more important question is not “which is better” but “which catalyst arrives first.” XRP’s catalysts, CLARITY passage, continued ETF accumulation, and ODL growth, are nearer-term and more directly tied to token demand. Stellar’s catalyst, the DTCC tokenization rollout, is larger in scale but further out and less directly tied to XLM demand. An investor who wants exposure to the tokenization thesis with a payoff that could land sooner and flow to the token leans XRP. An investor willing to wait years for what could be the bigger institutional prize, and who believes Stellar will eventually solve the value-capture gap, leans XLM. Both are betting on the same enormous market. They are just betting on different paths into it, on different timelines, with different odds that the token rather than just the network gets paid. That, not a single winner, is the real shape of the $114 trillion race.

This article is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. The figures and analysis described reflect data available as of June 5, 2026. Always do your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.