Down 15% or Up to $127,500? Where Peter Brandt Sees Bitcoin Heading Next

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Contrary to retail crypto investors’ hopes for an imminent rally, the latest technical review of Bitcoin from legendary trader Peter Brandt points to the opposite – a continuation of the prolonged consolidation.

While the leading cryptocurrency is trying to hold in the $65,200–$66,000 area amid easing tensions in the Middle East, Brandt’s review of the weekly BTC/USD chart from TradeNavigator shows worrying technical markers.

Forget the peace rally

The legendary trader categorically rejected rumors of an imminent upside breakout, calling talk of a “bull flag” a rookie mistake. According to the rules of classical technical analysis laid down by Schabacker, Edwards, and Magee, such patterns last a maximum of 6–8 weeks, while the current decline has already dragged on longer.

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Instead, Bitcoin is trapped inside a clear descending price channel under pressure from the 8- and 18-period moving averages. The main warning for buyers was the red marker with which the analyst recorded a downside break from previous consolidations.

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Bitcoin (BTC) price outlook, Source: Peter Brandt

Trend strength, with ADX at 28.27, confirms that bears remain firmly in control. According to Brandt, the coin will continue to slide lower within this corridor, while a full cyclical bottom will form no earlier than September or October 2026.

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However, long-term investors should not panic. Despite the short-term bearish trend, Brandt’s global bullish scenario remains intact. The upper red line on his chart marks the historical target of this cycle near $127,500, while the absolute multi-year floor remains firmly anchored by the lower baseline resting at $24,825 per BTC.

But for this scenario to activate, the market needs to wait for the final reversal. In this context, the path to a new all-time high will begin only when Brandt records the opposite green marker on the chart – a signal of a true breakout from the descending channel to the upside.



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