Wahi cleared for Canada as Polymarket keeps Europe at 70.5% to win WC

Elye Wahi Cleared to Enter Canada for Ivory Coast vs Germany as Polymarket Keeps UEFA at 70.5%

Ivory Coast forward Elye Wahi was cleared to enter Canada for his team’s World Cup group match against Germany after an earlier denial tied to questions about his legal situation. On Polymarket’s “Which continent will win the World Cup?” market, traders kept Europe (UEFA) as the heavy favorite at 70.5% amid steady pricing.

Key Takeaways

• Europe (UEFA) leads the Polymarket market at 70.5%, ahead of South America (CONMEBOL) at 20.5%.
• Traders held odds steady as Ivory Coast confirmed Elye Wahi can travel to Canada to continue the tournament after visa authorization was obtained.
• Pricing was flat on the day, with Polymarket showing 0.0 percentage-point change over 24 hours and 7 days.

Ivory Coast international Elye Wahi will be allowed into Canada for his country’s World Cup group game against Germany on Saturday after earlier being denied entry, according to the national federation. The 23-year-old Nice forward was reported to have been arrested last month as part of an investigation linked to alleged spot-fixing in France’s Ligue 1, involving accusations he deliberately earned a yellow card in a May match against Metz. The league said it had been alerted to an unusually high volume of bets on a booking involving Wahi, while a statement from the public prosecutor’s office in Marseille confirmed the arrest of a 23-year-old Ligue 1 player without naming him. Ivory Coast’s federation said it had not been told of any judicial or administrative proceedings against Wahi, but confirmed he initially could not obtain authorization to enter Canada before later securing the necessary approvals to travel with the squad. Canadian immigration authorities said hosting major events does not change the country’s immigration laws and that each traveler is assessed individually, with temporary resident permits possible in exceptional circumstances.

Polymarket “Which Continent Will Win the World Cup?” Tops $5.7M Volume with UEFA 70.5% vs CONMEBOL 20.5%

On Polymarket, the multi-outcome market “Which continent will win the World Cup?” showed Europe (UEFA) at 70.5% Yes / 29.5% No, with matched volume at $5,715,215 and no net move on the latest reading. South America (CONMEBOL) was priced at 20.5% Yes / 79.5% No, while North America (CONCACAF) stood at 3.8% Yes / 96.2% No. Long-shot outcomes remained heavily discounted: Africa (CAF) at 3.55% Yes / 96.45% No, Asia (AFC) at 1.8% Yes / 98.2% No, and Oceania (OCF) at 0.25% Yes / 99.75% No, indicating concentrated conviction in a UEFA winner rather than a broad distribution of probabilities.

Watch for any further disciplinary or legal updates tied to the Ligue 1 betting inquiry and for changes in Polymarket volume and the Europe (UEFA) vs South America (CONMEBOL) spread as the tournament progresses.

Beyond the World Cup: Other High-Volume Polymarket Contracts Traders Are Watching Now

Beyond the continent-level pricing, activity on Polymarket is clustering in adjacent World Cup contracts where traders are expressing more granular views on outcomes and individual awards. The biggest pool remains “World Cup Winner,” led by France at 18.45% with $2,671,082,633 in volume, while player-focused interest is running through “World Cup: Golden Boot Winner” with Kylian Mbappe at 23.5% on $16,991,536. In the group markets, “World Cup Group B Winner” shows Canada on top at 59.5% with $1,059,142 matched, and knockout-path positioning has pushed “World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages” to Mexico at 100.0% on $4,461,671.

Odds Trend

By the Numbers

• Platform: Polymarket
• Market: Which continent will win the World Cup?
• Contract type: Price strike ladder: each rung has separate Yes/No; Yes means the spot price is above that USD strike at settlement.
• Status: Active (open for trading)
• Volume: ~$5,715,215

Top strike rungs

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