A Polymarket trader using the name blunttedge made $8.47 million in one day after building two large World Cup positions from a newly created wallet.
The first trade targeted the Japan vs. Sweden match. Blunttedge placed about $7.19 million across Sweden to win and Japan not to win. The Japan-Sweden match ended 1-1, meaning Japan did not win and the anti-Japan side of the position settled in the trader’s favor. The result generated about $4.38 million in profit.
The trader then placed about $2.26 million on Ecuador to beat Germany. The Ecuador-Germany market resolved after Ecuador won 2-1, adding roughly $4.09 million more to the day’s gains.
The two-match run turned a fresh wallet into one of the most visible Polymarket winners of the 2026 World Cup. The profit came from concentrated exposure to football outcomes rather than crypto prices, showing how prediction markets are becoming a high-liquidity trading lane for sports events.
Draw Protection Made The First Trade Work
The Japan-Sweden position was built around more than one outcome. A direct Sweden win bet needed Sweden to take the match, but the Japan not-to-win position could still pay if the game ended in a draw. The 1-1 result made that structure critical because Sweden did not win outright, while Japan also failed to win.
That type of market construction gives traders more ways to express a match view than a simple winner pick. A trader can back one side directly, bet against the opponent, use spread markets or combine correlated positions around the same fixture.
Those structures can also collapse quickly. If Japan had won, the first setup would have failed. If Germany had beaten Ecuador, the second trade would have wiped out the Ecuador position. The profit came from correct match selection, size and settlement rules lining up across both events.
The same World Cup liquidity had already produced an Australia winner above $5 million after Türkiye failed to win and Australia covered spread exposure. Another whale turned a $7.46 million Colombia position into a projected $2.71 million profit after Colombia beat Uzbekistan.
Polymarket Whale Wins Keep Getting Larger
Blunttedge’s one-day profit lands inside a wider run of large Polymarket sports trades. World Cup markets are now deep enough for seven-figure stakes to move through single fixtures, with traders using outright winners, “not to win” positions and spread markets to create concentrated exposure.
The profit concentration has become one of the main stories around prediction markets. Recent Polymarket and Kalshi data showed that most profits are captured by a tiny group of power users, with the top slice of accounts taking a dominant share of gains. That elite gap matters when casual users enter markets against wallets that can size into events, monitor odds quickly and understand settlement rules better than the average participant.
Large wins also sit beside large losses. A previous Polymarket whale suffered a wipeout after betting heavily against a geopolitical outcome that resolved the wrong way. Binary markets can turn millions into profit within hours, but the same structure can also send a position to zero at settlement.
Blunttedge’s wallet now sits on a reported $8.47 million one-day profit after the Japan-Sweden draw and Ecuador’s 2-1 win over Germany. The run adds another high-profile World Cup payout to Polymarket’s sports-market boom, where a single match result can settle millions in crypto-native event contracts.
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