XRP Faces Make-or-Break Point as Ichimoku Cloud Caps Recovery at Key Resistance

XRP now has one major resistance level to overcome before it can begin to change the bearish trend, as the Ichimoku Cloud presents strong overhead resistance.

Currently, XRP trades at $1.1093, where a series of lower highs on the weekly chart continues to show that sellers remain in control. At the current price, XRP is already down more than 70% from the $3.6 all-time high.

While a weekly close above $1.1444 would break the lower highs pattern for the first time in 12 months, the Ichimoku Cloud continues to stand in the way of a stronger recovery.

XRP Ichimoku Cloud Showing Bearish Trend

Notably, the weekly Ichimoku Cloud indicates that the market remains bearish, with XRP trading below every major part of the indicator. Specifically, the Tenkan-sen stands at $1.2050, the Kijun-sen at $1.5182, Senkou Span A at $1.3616, and Senkou Span B at $2.3293.

Since XRP remains below all four levels, the overall trend still favors sellers. The cloud stretches from $1.3616 to $2.3293, creating almost $1 of resistance above the current price. As the cloud is wide, buyers will likely face massive selling pressure as they try to move higher.

The Chikou Span also confirms this position. At $1.1093, it sits below both the cloud and the price from the same period 12 months ago, adding another sign that the broader trend remains weak.

The first Ichimoku level buyers need to reclaim is the Tenkan-sen at $1.2050. However, XRP must first break above $1.1444, which means buyers still have an important hurdle to clear before reaching that target.

XRP Seeing Lower Highs

Meanwhile, XRP has remained in a downtrend since reaching its cycle high of $3.66 in July 2025. During this time, every rally has ended below the previous one, and this has allowed sellers to keep control of the market.

After peaking at $3.66, XRP failed to move beyond the $3.30 to $3.40 area before falling again. Later rallies stopped around $2.50, then $2.00, and eventually near $1.60 as 2026 began. Each lower high strengthened the bearish structure.

The downtrend now meets horizontal resistance at $1.1444, creating a strong technical barrier. This level combines the descending trendline with an established resistance zone, which makes it one of the most important price points on the chart.

If XRP closes above $1.1444 on the weekly timeframe, it would break this year-long pattern of lower highs for the first time. This could shift attention toward the next resistance at the Tenkan-sen near $1.2050.

Key XRP Price Levels to Watch

The $1.1444 level remains the key resistance because it sits only 3.2% above the current price of $1.1093. However, breaking it will not be easy because buyers must also push through the descending trendline that has limited every rally over the past 12 months.

If XRP manages a clear weekly close above $1.1444, the next targets would be $1.2050 and then Senkou Span A at $1.3616. Reaching those levels would help the case for a broader recovery.

On the downside, the psychological support at $1 remains just as important. The current weekly candle has already touched a low of $1.0531, leaving that support less than 1% below the week’s lowest price. If XRP closes below $1 on the weekly chart, it would lose its last visible support level and could face stronger selling pressure.

Further above, $2.4 remains an important long-term resistance level. This area acted as support during the 2025 consolidation period, but it now sits about 116% above XRP’s current price.