Kalshi Traders Bet on XLM to Beat XRP This Year

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Stellar (XLM) has continued to gain traction as the fast-growing altcoin remains one of the top-performing cryptocurrencies that have been barely overwhelmed by the extreme market volatility.

With XLM consistently projecting strong price movements even on days when the market seems uncertain, traders are beginning to weigh in on its possible future outcome against its rival, XRP.

XLM gains edge over XRP

Data showcased on the crypto prediction market Kalshi shows that traders are giving XLM a bit of an edge over XRP as the former continues to pull stronger price moves even amid the weak market conditions.

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Under the category that allows traders to bet on which cryptocurrency will end the year with a positive return, 36% of traders on the platform believe XLM will finish the year in the green. Meanwhile, only 31% showed confidence in XRP.

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Although the difference is relatively small, it suggests that market sentiment is a bit in favor of XLM and traders are showing more confidence in Stellar’s performance over the remainder of the year despite XRP’s growing social hype.

What does history say?

While the odds appear to be pretty close, historical data further backs XLM’s chances of outperforming XRP for the remaining part of the year.

So far in 2026, XLM has only decreased by 5.99%, while XRP is down by a massive 39.8%, positioning the former way ahead in terms of their year-to-date price performance.

Further data has also shown that XLM has been more resilient over the past three months, posting an increase of 17.8% in its price while XRP declined by 21.4% over the same period.



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