BONK crashes 10% – Why THIS indicator hints at seller exhaustion

Bybit
Changelly


BONK remains the only memecoin among the top 10 losers within the top 150 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

The token has fallen roughly 10% over the past 24 hours, hitting fresh all-time lows across major centralized exchanges, including Binance and OKX. Like most memecoins, BONK has struggled for much of the year.

The asset is down 66% on a year-to-date basis and has lost 39% over the past 30 days. With selling pressure continuing to build, those losses could deepen further if bearish momentum persists.

BONK perpetual traders lean into the fresh low

Perpetual traders sold into BONK’s fresh low, increasing their short exposure as the price declined.

Tokenmetrics

The funding rate— which measures which side of an asset’s perpetual market dominates—confirmed the short control as it fell to a negative 0.0169%.

The reading marked a notable increase in short positioning, even as the capital in the perpetual market dropped to $5.3 million at the time of reporting.

Bonk funding rate chart. Bonk funding rate chart.
Source: CoinGlass

Volume, meanwhile, continued to climb with CoinMarketCap reporting a surge of over 200% to $69.07 million across the market.

Rising volume alongside a falling price often signals growing momentum among sellers and points to the bearish trend extending along its current path.

Sellers may be nearing exhaustion

Technical analysis of BONK suggests sellers could soon exhaust their momentum.

The signal follows BONK’s price plunging to the lower green band of the Bollinger Bands. The indicator maps periods of overvaluation and undervaluation through its upper red band and lower green band respectively.

BONK Bollinger Band Chart. BONK Bollinger Band Chart.
Source: TradingView

Trading at the lower Bollinger Band does not confirm an imminent rebound. However, it suggests that the BONK may be approaching oversold conditions, where selling pressure could begin to ease and buyers may step in.

On the other hand, the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator, a volume-weighted metric, suggests that distribution of BONK continues. The indicator has fallen to -11 trillion BONK and remains on a downward trajectory, signaling sustained selling pressure and capital outflows from the market.

BONK Aroon and Accumulation/Distribution indicator. BONK Aroon and Accumulation/Distribution indicator.
Source: TradingView

The Aroon indicator adds to the case, tying momentum to the bears as the Aroon Down line (blue) hit 100% while the Aroon Up line (orange) trended even lower to 14.29%.

BONK investor sentiment turns sharply bearish

The community sentiment indicator for BONK points to a sharp rise in bearish perception around the token.

Consensus on whether BONK is bullish has weakened, with the reading falling to 71% from 85%. Sentiment itself dropped to a negative 3.33, while mindshare rose to 3,410 posts across social media.

Bonk community sentiment chart. Bonk community sentiment chart.
Source: CoinMarketCap

Rising mindshare while the price stays firmly bearish can add fuel to the selling pressure already weighing on BONK.


Final Summary

  • BONK fell to fresh all-time lows across Binance and OKX, with a negative funding rate of -0.0169% and rising short exposure confirming seller control.
  • Volume surged over 200% to $69.07 million, coinciding with growing sell pressure as the Aroon and Accumulation/Distribution indicators point to more downside.



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