An AI prediction model is suggesting that XRP could fall below the key $1 level at the start of September.
According to the Finbold AI Agent, which aggregates forecasts from multiple artificial intelligence systems, XRP is expected to trade at an average price of $0.97 on September 1, representing a decline of almost 3% from current levels.
The forecast, generated on August 15, combines estimates from DeepSeek Chat, GPT-5.7 Luna, and Grok 4.5.
Among the models, DeepSeek Chat delivered the most optimistic outlook, predicting XRP would remain at $1 by September 1, implying a modest decline of 0.8%. GPT-5.7 Luna was the most bearish, projecting XRP at $0.96, a drop of 4.29%. Grok 4.5 forecast a price of $0.97, representing a decline of 3.45%.
The machine learning forecast aligns with XRP’s recent technical structure, which has been characterized by lower highs and lower lows since mid-June.
Price action shows XRP peaked above $1.20 in June before entering a sustained downtrend, sliding back toward the $1 level and erasing most of its summer gains.
Selling pressure intensified in early August, pushing the asset below key short-term support levels before stabilizing.
XRP social sentiment plunges
The cautious outlook from the AI models comes as sentiment surrounding the cryptocurrency deteriorates across major crypto communities.
Data from Santiment shared on August 11 shows bearish commentary has surged to a three-month extreme across X, Reddit, Telegram, and other crypto channels as the token struggles to sustain a meaningful recovery.
However, on-chain activity is telling a different story. The XRP Ledger recorded 49,929 active addresses in a single 24-hour period, its highest level in more than two months.
The surge follows a period of weak network activity in July, when active address counts had fallen toward their 2026 lows.
The divergence between sentiment and network activity presents a notable counter-signal for the market. While XRP’s move back below the $1 mark has fueled pessimism among retail traders, rising wallet activity suggests participation on the network is increasing rather than declining.
If XRP can hold key support levels and demand begins to recover, the current wave of negativity could eventually be viewed as a period of accumulation.
XRP price analysis
By press time, XRP was trading at $1, down about 0.2% over the past 24 hours. On the weekly timeframe, the asset was also in the red, having declined more than 3%.
Based on recent price action, XRP remains under bearish pressure, trading below both its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.08 and 200-day simple moving average of $1.30. This signals weakness in both the short- and long-term trend, with buyers yet to regain control.
At the same time, XRP’s 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 34.43, near the oversold threshold of 30.
While selling pressure remains dominant, the low RSI reading suggests downside momentum may be starting to ease.
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