Congress introduces bill for national crypto payment licenses, eyes Fed access

Congress has introduced a bill to create new national payment licenses for Bitcoin and crypto, potentially granting companies direct access to the Federal Reserve. Bitcoin prediction markets on Polymarket are seeing renewed interest across several price target contracts.

The Bitcoin Price in April market shows elevated interest around the April 30 target. The Bitcoin Price Predictions in April is also drawing trader attention, with the probability of Bitcoin dipping to $60,000 appearing lower amid this regulatory development.

Trading activity in the Bitcoin Price Predictions in April hit $8,786 in USDC traded over the last 24 hours. Participation remains relatively shallow at that volume, but the direction is clear: traders see a $60,000 dip as less likely with regulatory clarity on the horizon.

If Congress passes the bill, crypto companies would operate under a more defined federal framework, with potential direct Federal Reserve access removing a layer of intermediary friction. At current prices, buying YES at 22¢ pays $1 if Bitcoin doesn’t dip to $60,000 in April, a 4.5x return. That price implies traders assign roughly 78% probability to Bitcoin staying above $60,000 through month-end.

Watch for committee scheduling of the bill, any statements from Jerome Powell or Gary Gensler, and responses from large holders like BlackRock and MicroStrategy, as these could shift market expectations quickly.

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