Kyle Schwarber: Celtics will win in six, tournament expansion benefits only conferences, and draft lottery changes could create new loopholes

Key takeaways

• The Celtics are predicted to win their series in six games.
• Embiid’s dominance over Kat significantly impacts matchup dynamics.
• The Celtics face a critical moment with the smallest spread in the series.
• Tournament expansion to 24 teams is seen as a negative move benefiting conferences and broadcasters.
• Proposed draft lottery changes could lead to unintended consequences.
• The new lottery system may incentivize different tanking strategies among teams.
• The Eastern Conference has been underperforming for decades.
• The Pistons have made progress but still have major flaws.
• The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to dominate their playoff series.
• The Thunder are considered significantly better than the Suns and other teams.
• Betting spreads indicate a shift in perception of team performance.
• The expansion of tournaments is driven by financial interests, not consumer demand.
• The draft lottery changes might be exploited by teams finding loopholes.
• The new lottery system shifts tanking strategies to teams ranked 8th to 12th.
• The Pistons’ pride in their progress doesn’t negate their flaws.

Guest intro

Kyle Schwarber is a left fielder for the Philadelphia Phillies. He was drafted fourth overall by the Chicago Cubs in 2014 and helped them win the 2016 World Series. In 2025, he earned All-Star Game MVP honors after hitting three home runs in the Swing Off and set a franchise record with 56 home runs.

Celtics’ playoff predictions

• Kyle Schwarber predicts the Celtics will win their series in six games.

• The Celtics are gonna win in six

  — Kyle Schwarber

• This prediction reflects Schwarber’s confidence in the Celtics’ performance.
• The Celtics’ current playoff series is at a critical juncture.

• Smallest spread of the series by far

  — Kyle Schwarber

• Betting spreads show increased respect for the Celtics’ performance.
• The Celtics’ matchup dynamics are influenced by Embiid’s dominance.

• Embiid just dominates Kat

  — Kyle Schwarber

• Understanding player matchups is crucial for predicting series outcomes.

Impact of tournament expansion

• Schwarber criticizes the expansion of the tournament to 24 teams.

• I hate it… it’s the money that goes to the conferences

  — Kyle Schwarber

• The expansion primarily benefits conferences and broadcasters.
• Fans and consumers are not in favor of the expansion.

• The consumer does not want this

  — Kyle Schwarber

• The decision is driven by financial interests, not sporting merit.
• Schwarber’s opinion highlights the disconnect between decision-makers and fans.
• The expansion could dilute the quality of competition.

Draft lottery changes and unintended consequences

• Proposed changes to the draft lottery could have unforeseen effects.

• Some nerd’s gonna find a loophole

  — Kyle Schwarber

• Schwarber expresses concern about potential loopholes in the new system.
• The changes aim to prevent tanking but might create new issues.
• Teams might exploit the new rules for strategic advantage.
• Understanding the implications of these changes is crucial for teams.
• Schwarber’s insight emphasizes the complexity of implementing new rules.
• The effectiveness of the changes remains uncertain.

New lottery system and team strategies

• The new lottery system shifts tanking strategies to teams ranked 8th to 12th.

• Teams eight through 12 are gonna take their asses off

  — Kyle Schwarber

• This change affects how teams approach the end of the season.
• The system aims to discourage tanking but may not fully succeed.
• Teams will adapt their strategies to the new incentives.
• Schwarber’s analysis highlights the challenges of preventing tanking.
• The lottery changes could alter competitive dynamics in the league.
• Understanding these dynamics is key for teams and analysts.

Eastern Conference performance

• The Eastern Conference has been underperforming for decades.

• Down year for the east for a long time

  — Kyle Schwarber

• Schwarber’s opinion reflects a long-term view of the conference’s struggles.
• The Eastern Conference’s competitiveness is compared to the Western Conference.
• Historical performance trends are important for evaluating the conference.
• Schwarber’s insight provides context for current team performances.
• The Eastern Conference’s challenges impact its teams’ playoff prospects.
• Understanding these trends is crucial for predicting future outcomes.

Pistons’ progress and flaws

• The Pistons have made significant progress but still have major flaws.

• The Pistons really were the ones that cared

  — Kyle Schwarber

• Schwarber acknowledges the Pistons’ efforts to improve.
• Despite progress, the Pistons face ongoing challenges.

• That doesn’t change the fact that they’re very flawed

  — Kyle Schwarber

• The Pistons’ situation highlights the complexity of team development.
• Schwarber’s insight emphasizes the need for continued improvement.
• Understanding the Pistons’ strengths and weaknesses is key for fans and analysts.

Oklahoma City Thunder’s playoff outlook

• The Thunder are expected to dominate their upcoming playoff series.

• I don’t know if they’ll lose a game before the western conference final

  — Kyle Schwarber

• Schwarber’s prediction reflects confidence in the Thunder’s capabilities.
• The Thunder’s roster strength is a key factor in their playoff success.

• They’re just so good

  — Kyle Schwarber

• The Thunder are considered significantly better than the Suns and other teams.

• You just played a team that is significantly better

  — Kyle Schwarber

• Understanding the Thunder’s strengths is crucial for analyzing playoff dynamics.