TLDR
- On-chain analyst Santiment says XRP social sentiment has hit a 3-week fear high, which it calls a buy signal.
- Whales pulled 122 million XRP from Binance in a single session — the largest daily outflow since February.
- XRP spot ETFs posted 16 straight days of positive inflows totaling $116.75 million.
- Ripple may be eyeing a $11 billion acquisition of stablecoin issuer Circle, though no executives have confirmed it.
- XRP’s 30-day MVRV is at its lowest since December 2020, a zone that has historically preceded rebounds.
XRP is trading around $1.34 after bouncing off a 24-hour low of $1.33. Volume rose 5% in the past day as both on-chain data and derivatives metrics turned bullish.
On-chain analytics firm Santiment flagged that the XRP bullish-to-bearish comment ratio on social media has dropped to 1.1:1 — placing it in what Santiment calls the “FUD zone.” According to the firm, when retail traders become this fearful, weaker hands have already sold and conditions often favor a price bounce.
Santiment also noted that XRP’s 30-day MVRV — which tracks average returns for recent traders — has fallen to its lowest level since December 2020. The average XRP trader active in the past 30 days is down 47%. Historically, readings this low have appeared when retail participants have largely given up, and the firm says this represents an “extreme undervalued zone.”
📉 The average XRP trader that has been active in the past 30 days is down a whopping -47% with many selling at the bottom. Historically, MVRV’s (average trading returns) will always average out to 0%, making this current time an extreme undervalued zone for $XRP. The chart shows… pic.twitter.com/a0s4ObRpQu
— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) May 26, 2026
Whale activity is backing that signal. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha confirmed that 122 million XRP was withdrawn from Binance in a single trading session on May 22 — the biggest daily outflow since early February. Net exchange position change dropped to -30 million that Sunday.
ETF Demand and Derivatives Signal Continued Interest
Spot XRP ETF inflows have remained positive for 16 straight sessions, with combined inflows reaching $116.75 million during that run, according to SoSoValue data. Derivatives traders are also leaning bullish. Open interest in XRP futures rose more than 1% to $2.86 billion, with CME and Binance both seeing gains on the 4-hour chart.
Bollinger Bands on the daily chart have compressed to their tightest range since mid-2024. Similar compression periods in the past preceded upward moves of 58% to 82%, according to chart analyst Crypto Patel.
Circle Acquisition Rumor Adds to Community Buzz
Adding fuel to community speculation is a rumor that Ripple is planning to acquire USDC issuer Circle for $11 billion. The chatter began after the XRP Ledger Foundation posted on X: “Tomorrow’s going to be a great day.” No executives from either company have confirmed the deal.
🚨 Ripple × Circle $11B Acquisition Rumors Are Heating Up Again.
Bullish Implications for $XRP:
• Stablecoin Empire: Control USDC + RLUSD = unstoppable payments dominance.
• XRP Bridge Power: XRP becomes the ultimate cross-border settlement asset between massive liquidity… pic.twitter.com/CRftjlEbFy
— ghost (@ghostweb3) May 25, 2026
This is not the first time such a rumor has circulated. Last year, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse denied a Bloomberg report claiming Ripple had pursued a $4–$5 billion bid for Circle. Circle also said at the time it was not for sale.
On the technical side, XRP is trading below its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages. The RSI sits near 41. Analyst ChartNerd identified the current lower support zone as a key level, noting that losing it could trigger a broader pullback.
XRP futures open interest on CME rose 0.32% and Binance climbed 1.13% on the 4-hour timeframe at the time of writing.
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