Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Buried in Bitmine Immersion Technologies’ latest disclosure is a number that speaks to just how deep the company has gone on Ethereum. […]
Marine Le Pen’s niece is pushing for a rightwing alliance ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election, as Le Pen’s own odds on Polymarket sit at 5.5% YES, down from 6% a week ago. Market reaction […]
The White House has signaled progress in US-Iran negotiations, suggesting a “good deal” is near. On Polymarket, the odds of no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occurring by June 30, 2026, sit at 3.4% YES. The […]
China’s lead output dropped 11.4% year-on-year to 652,000 metric tons in March, adding pressure to GDP growth forecasts. The probability of China achieving between 3.5% and 4.0% GDP growth in Q1 2026 sits at ? […]
A suspected state‑linked $13m hack has shuttered sanctioned Russian crypto exchange Grinex, cutting a major ruble‑to‑crypto sanctions‑evasion channel. Summary Russian-linked crypto exchange Grinex shuts down after losing over $13m in a suspected state-level cyberattack Platform, […]
A wallet linked to Justin Sun’s HTX Recovery withdrew $274 million USDT from Aave within 25 minutes of a market freeze. Solana’s April 18 price prediction market on Polymarket shows a 15% decrease in YES […]
The Arbitrum Security Council has frozen 30,766 ETH (around $100 million) linked to the KelpDAO exploit. The market for another $100M+ crypto hack by December 31 sits at 100% YES. The freeze targets funds attributed […]
Trump declared a ceasefire extension “highly unlikely” without a deal. The probability of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 22 is now at 18.5% YES, down from 16% yesterday. Market reaction The market reflects […]
Iran declares it has “new cards” if fighting resumes, casting doubt on the peace talks’ progress. The odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 22 sit at 18.5% YES, down from 16% yesterday. […]
The Nasdaq Composite ended its 13-day winning streak with a 0.26% drop as the U.S.-Iran ceasefire deadline looms. On Polymarket, the S&P 500 April 17 open market currently sits at 100% YES for opening higher, […]
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