My name is Godspower Owie, and I was born and brought up in Edo State, Nigeria. I grew up with my three siblings who have always been my idols and mentors, helping me to grow […]
The Iran conflict has heightened inflation expectations, according to a Bank of Canada survey. The Polymarket contract for WTI crude oil hitting $160 in April is expected to move up 15%, while gold reaching $8,000 […]
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian dismissed US demands for nuclear dismantlement in a recent statement. The market for “no Head of State in Iran by end of 2026” is at 21.5% YES, reflecting increased concerns over […]
CENTCOM reported turning back 27 vessels from Iranian ports as the US naval blockade continues. The Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization market dropped to 25% YES, down from 40% yesterday. Market reaction The Strait of […]
The U.S. State Department confirmed ambassador-level talks between Israel and Lebanon will occur Thursday in Washington. The probability of a diplomatic meeting by April 30 is at 100%. Traders on the Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting market […]
The Bank for International Settlements has raised concerns about financial stability risks from large US dollar stablecoins, calling for stronger global regulatory coordination. USDC depeg by December 31 sits at 3.6% YES. Market reaction The […]
Strategy announced a $2.54 billion Bitcoin purchase, its largest in over 16 months, coinciding with STRC’s ex-dividend date. In the Bitcoin All Time High by Date market, odds for a new high by June 30 […]
Iran-linked ships attempted to challenge Trump’s naval blockade, with all efforts stopped by the U.S. military. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire breach by April 21 is at 18% YES, up from 8% a day […]
Iran is dispatching a high-level delegation to Pakistan for talks with the US, led by Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The meeting, contingent on Vice President JD Vance’s presence, is set for Tuesday. The odds of no […]
Iran has refused to participate in upcoming negotiations with the US in Pakistan. The market for Iran ending uranium enrichment by April 30 has dropped to 32.6% YES, down from 50% just a day ago. […]
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