China’s “law of the jungle” warning over US pressure on Iran complicates the prospect of a Trump visit. Odds of Trump visiting China by April 30 remain at 1% YES, unchanged from last week. The […]
Iran’s internet blackout has caused $1.8 billion in losses over 48 days, halting incomes for freelancers and small businesses. Iranian regime fall by June 30 is at 7.5% YES, down from 8% yesterday. The shutdown […]
Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is traveling to Washington for mediation between the US and Iran. The US-Iran ceasefire extension by April 21 market sits at 76.5% YES. Market reaction The US-Iran ceasefire extension market […]
Israel wants a buffer zone and operational freedom in any Lebanon ceasefire agreement, according to a Wall Street Journal report. The market for Israel suspending its Lebanon offensive by April 30 sits at 76% YES. […]
A review of more than 150 major crypto protocols shows that disclosure of market-making arrangements is almost nonexistent, despite their central role in token trading. The research, conducted by crypto advisory company Novora, found that […]
U.S. Marines conducted live hoist training on USS Tripoli amid the blockade of Iranian ports. The market for UK warships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by April 30 is at 10% YES, up from 6% […]
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Denmark’s biggest bank only recently started letting customers buy into Bitcoin and Ether — and that may explain a lot. Banks, Tax […]
Iran has halted all petrochemical exports to stabilize its domestic market during the ongoing US-Iran-Israel conflict. The odds of WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 by April 30 now sit at 25%. Market reaction The export […]
The USS Gerald R. Ford has surpassed post-Cold War deployment records as it continues operations in the Middle East, while the market on Trump’s military operations against Iran sits at 15% YES, down from 30% […]
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun endorsed a ceasefire as a route to direct talks with Israel, and the Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026 market jumped to 80.3% YES, up from 66% yesterday. Market […]
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