The Polymarket contract on whether the S&P 500 closes up on April 14 hit 100% YES, up from 54% the previous day, after news of a possible U.S.-Iran ceasefire and strong Bank of America earnings. […]
Cleveland Fed President Hammack flagged ongoing inflation target misses and difficult supply shocks, with the Federal Reserve Rate Predictions for End of 2026 market pricing a YES share for a 4.25% federal funds rate by […]
Key takeaways: Institutional ETH accumulation remains robust as Ether ETFs and Bitmine Immersion lead a healthy, spot-driven recovery. Lackluster DApp revenue and negative ETH funding rates suggest that traders are skeptical of the rally. Ether […]
The US-Iran ceasefire announcement initially pushed Bitcoin higher, but renewed tensions have since erased those gains. Bitcoin price predictions for April 19 sit at 99.8% YES, while April 16 is at 99.5% YES. Market reaction […]
Hezbollah fired rockets at Safed, Israel, as the 2026 Lebanon war continues. The odds of Israel conducting military action against Iran by April 21 sit at 16% YES, down from 22% a day ago. The […]
Putin’s potential May visit to China coincides with Trump’s confirmed trip on May 14-15. Trump visiting China by May 31 is at 80.5% YES, up from 72% yesterday. Trump’s visit confirmation pushed odds on the […]
Iraq has redirected its oil exports through Syria’s Baniyas terminal, avoiding the Strait of Hormuz. The odds for Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by April 30 are at ? YES, as disruptions continue. This change […]
The committee, led by Tether’s head of government affairs, reported spending $3 million on advertising through a company co-founded by Tether US CEO Bo Hines. The latest filing by the crypto-aligned political action committee (PAC) […]
ETFs and digital asset trusts now control nearly 12% of Bitcoin’s supply. The market for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by December 2026 is at 36.5% YES, up slightly from 36% a week ago. ETFs and DATs […]
Iran’s insistence on asset release and the absence of a ceasefire extension agreement has pushed related nuclear deal markets lower. The ceasefire by April 30 market sits at 100% YES, but the stalled negotiations are […]
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