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Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle is still intact despite recent claims regarding its potential demise, according to former White House Communications Director Anthony Scaramucci. The seasoned investor recently sat down with Scott Melker of Wolf of All Streets and shared his opinion on the future of the crypto market.
According to Scaramucci, the current situation is similar to previous Bitcoin cycles, which witnessed one year of loss-reporting followed by 3 years of gains. The CEO of Skybridge Capital predicted that the premier digital currency is likely to witness a healthy price increase in the last quarter of 2026.
How Can the 4-Year Cycle Still Be Intact?
The main anomaly prompting many analysts to declare the death of the 4-year cycle is Bitcoin’s major price drop at the end of 2025. Normally, after a halving, Bitcoin posts new highs in the following year and retains them, at least until the end of the last quarter.
However, this time around, while the premier cryptocurrency did post a new ATH in October, it immediately led to a major price dump, one of the biggest surprises in history. As a result, BTC actually posted a net loss at the end of 2025, a rare occurrence for a year following a halving event.
According to Scaramucci, the previous bull market was “muted” by long-term BTC holders selling their stash around the $100,000 price level. In addition, he said that the cycle has been muted because major institutional investors have provided a useful cushion for the price to fall back on.
 
“We’re in a four-year cycle, and there were some traditional whales, some OG’s, that believe in the four-year cycle, and guess what happens in life when you believe in something? You create a self-fulfilling prophecy.”
Basically, what Scaramucci is trying to say is that some of the earliest BTC whales had been holding for a long time and saw $100,000 as a nice round figure to sell their long-term stash, and that affected the end-of-market performance. The price couldn’t remain steady under selling pressure and subsequently headed towards a major price dump. Eventually, the digital asset found support around the $60k valuation.
Scaramucci is one of the most well-known Bitcoin proponents worldwide and has effectively advocated for the digital currency market over the years. He is a former Trump White House staffer who served as communications director for less than a month, during which he fired two senior staff members before being shown the door himself. He is now a staunch Trump critic. He also criticized the President in this interview.
The Future
Scaramucci maintains a price target of $2 million to $3 million per Bitcoin over the next 6 years, noting that we are currently near a bottoming event characterized by “time-based capitulation”.
He has also predicted that a watered-down version of the CLARITY Act will be passed by the US Congress in less than a month and will benefit the sector.
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