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Polymarket odds: 98% say Hormuz traffic won’t normalize by July 31
Jessie A Ellis Jul 20, 2026 04:13 After a fresh round of U.S. Polymarket odds: 98% say Hormuz traffic won’t normalize by July 31 Polymarket Reprices on […]
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Polymarket odds: Newsom slips to 19.75% after Maine primary dropout
Jessie A Ellis Jul 20, 2026 04:20 A report says a second Democrat has dropped out of the Maine primary, reshaping the field and adding a new signal on campaign viability. […]
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Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49% for 2028 GOP nod as oil tops $90
Alvin Lang Jul 20, 2026 02:13 Crude prices topped $90 after a report tied the move to escalating Middle East fighting and heightened conflict risk. Polymarket holds […]
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Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 29.5% on renewed strike reports
Rongchai Wang Jul 20, 2026 02:20 Reports say U.S. forces struck Iran for a ninth straight night amid escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions and explosions reported in multiple cities. […]
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Polymarket odds for Hormuz traffic normalizing by year-end slide to 52.5%
Rongchai Wang Jul 20, 2026 00:14 U.S. forces struck Iran for a ninth consecutive night, Central Command said, heightening uncertainty around regional shipping and timelines. Polymarket odds […]
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Polymarket odds put Lula at 59.5% in Brazil race after 10-point jump
Joerg Hiller Jul 20, 2026 00:20 After President Donald Trump’s televised address revived 2020 election claims, a report highlights conflicting answers from Energy Secretary Chris Wright and DNI nominee Jay Clayton, […]
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Polymarket sees 53.5% odds US halts Iran offensive ops by Aug. 31
Alvin Lang Jul 19, 2026 22:12 The U.S. military confirmed another American service member was killed in the war with Iran, raising the total to 17 as drones and missiles keep […]
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Polymarket odds put Starmer exit at 99.65% as US nomination news fades
Rongchai Wang Jul 19, 2026 20:12 A report says Troy Jackson has effectively secured the Maine Senate Democratic nomination, a U.S. campaign update that landed as Polymarket’s “next leader out” market […]
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Polymarket odds jump to 94% for no July Fed change after balance sheet note
Jessie A Ellis Jul 19, 2026 20:19 A Deutsche Bank note this week cast the Fed’s balance-sheet runoff as bearish for the U.S. dollar, sparking fresh focus on July policy expectations. […]
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Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 17.5%
Joerg Hiller Jul 19, 2026 18:24 In an evening address, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia is relying on ballistic missiles and urged faster air-defense deliveries after a large strike hit […]
