Key Takeaways Polymarket gives a September Fed hold 63% odds after more than $20.3 million traded. Kalshi prices a Fed hold at 65%, while CME Fedwatch puts the probability at 55.6%. CME’s Fedwatch tool still […]
Key Takeaways Fed Chair Kevin Warsh told Congress on July 14, 2026 the Fed won’t bail out crypto or stablecoins. Rep. Brad Sherman pressed Warsh on a potential run in crypto markets during the House […]
Key Takeaways Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the rest of the board held rates at 3.50%-3.75% and eliminated forward guidance at the June 17 FOMC meeting. Bitcoin dropped to an intraday low of $62,236 on […]
Key Takeaways Kevin Warsh’s Fed held rates at 3.5%-3.75% in a unanimous 12-0 vote. CPI hit 4.2% in May as energy prices lifted pressure on U.S. households. The New York Fed kept $160B RRP limits […]
Key Takeaways Powell said the Federal Reserve forfeits public trust if a president can dismiss officials over policy, per June 1 remarks. The warning came amidst a time when the Supreme Court is weighing Trump’s […]
Key Takeaways: Kevin Warsh cleared a 13-11 Senate Banking Committee vote on April 29, replacing Powell as Fed Chair in May 2026. Polymarket traders priced a 96% chance the Fed holds rates steady at the […]
Key Takeaways: Fed funds futures on CME show a 99.5% probability the Fed holds rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the April 29 FOMC meeting. WTI crude topping $110 per barrel after Trump’s April speech pushed Polymarket’s […]
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