Key Takeaways Trump told Time late last month that Warsh’s Fed shouldn’t have lifted rates to a 3.75%-4% range. Bitcoin rose from about $75,600 to $85,950 as the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a 2026 […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket bettors give another Fed hike in October 56% odds, while a pause is still close behind at 44%. CME traders see a 90.1% chance rates finish above today’s range by December, with […]
Key Takeaways Goldman Sachs moved from a hold call to a 25-basis-point hike for Sept. 16 after August core CPI hit 0.3%. CME Fedwatch odds for a September increase climbed from roughly 69% to 86.5% […]
Key Takeaways CME’s Fedwatch tool puts a Sept. 16 federal funds rate (FFR) hike at 57%, versus just 39.9% on Aug. 21. Polymarket and Kalshi price a Fed hold at 52%, exposing a razor-thin September […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket gives a September Fed hold 63% odds after more than $20.3 million traded. Kalshi prices a Fed hold at 65%, while CME Fedwatch puts the probability at 55.6%. CME’s Fedwatch tool still […]
Key Takeaways Fed Chair Kevin Warsh told Congress on July 14, 2026 the Fed won’t bail out crypto or stablecoins. Rep. Brad Sherman pressed Warsh on a potential run in crypto markets during the House […]
Key Takeaways Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the rest of the board held rates at 3.50%-3.75% and eliminated forward guidance at the June 17 FOMC meeting. Bitcoin dropped to an intraday low of $62,236 on […]
Key Takeaways Kevin Warsh’s Fed held rates at 3.5%-3.75% in a unanimous 12-0 vote. CPI hit 4.2% in May as energy prices lifted pressure on U.S. households. The New York Fed kept $160B RRP limits […]
Key Takeaways Powell said the Federal Reserve forfeits public trust if a president can dismiss officials over policy, per June 1 remarks. The warning came amidst a time when the Supreme Court is weighing Trump’s […]
Key Takeaways: Kevin Warsh cleared a 13-11 Senate Banking Committee vote on April 29, replacing Powell as Fed Chair in May 2026. Polymarket traders priced a 96% chance the Fed holds rates steady at the […]
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