Key Takeaways Nine Polymarket accounts netted over $2.4M with a 98% win rate on U.S. strikes, triggering insider alarms. Over $1B has been bet on military outcomes, bleeding into commodities like an $800M drop in […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket and Kalshi traders have moved $5.5M in combined volume on KY-04, with Gallrein at 52%. Super PACs backing Gallrein have spent $14M+, making KY-04 the costliest U.S. House primary ever. Massie trails […]
Prediction markets are increasingly being built on a small number of liquid venues, but accessed through a growing number of interfaces. Wallets, exchanges, and fintech apps are emerging as the main entry points, shifting competition […]
Big news for traders! Interactive Brokers, the popular brokerage firm listed on Nasdaq as IBKR, just rolled out a new unified prediction markets platform. This exciting launch brings together event contracts from top players like […]
Key Takeaways NPR documented third Polymarket insider trading pattern in three months on May 7, 2026. Senate Res. 708 banned member and staff prediction-market trading by unanimous consent April 30. CFTC charged Master Sgt. Van […]
Key Takeaways Judge Conley issued first federal IGRA ruling siding with tribe against Kalshi on May 11, 2026. Wisconsin ruling reverses November 2025 California precedent that denied three tribes a similar block. Ho-Chunk case includes […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket traders assign a slim 11% chance that bitcoin hits $150,000 by December 31, 2026. Kalshi data shows a 47% probability of bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 milestone during 2026. Total volume across major […]
Key Takeaways Draftkings CEO Jason Robins eyes “top two or three” global market-maker spot via the Railbird exchange. Flutter began market-making for a major third-party prediction platform in April; own platform launches soon. Flutter cut […]
Key Takeaways AGA Q1 2026 outlook: 81% of gaming executives flag prediction markets as “very significant” threat. Four major operators exited AGA in six months: Draftkings, Fanduel, Fanatics, and bet365. Senate Commerce subcommittee opens first […]
Bitcoin has seen strong gains lately, and one key reason is the rise of prediction markets. These tools help traders spot risks from world events before they hit the headlines. In times of high tension, […]
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