Month: May 2026

The US Senate moved to tighten its stance on inside information and financial speculation on prediction markets, unanimously approving a resolution that bars members and staff from participating in such markets. The rule change—made by […]

## Market Snapshot The “US Forces Enter Iran” market is currently affected, with the likelihood of a U.S. invasion before 2027 decreasing. Pricing suggests a reduced probability due to de-escalation indicators. ## Key Takeaways – […]

## Market Snapshot Bitcoin Price April 27-May 3 market is currently pricing at 0.1% YES for reaching $94,000. This reflects uncertainty amid a significant BTC transfer to exchanges. Bitcoin Price Above on May 3 market […]

Key takeaways: Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $490 million in net outflows over three days, signaling a recent dip in institutional demand. Rising inflation is eroding real yields on fixed income, likely fueling long-term demand for […]

## Market Snapshot US GDP growth Q1 2026 market is currently priced at 100% YES for growth being less than 1.0%. The Fed decision for June 2026 shows a 3.6% YES for a rate cut, […]

## Market Snapshot In the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026” market, the probability of a ceasefire is currently priced at 0.1% YES. This represents a slight decrease from 1% a week ago. […]