Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling as Bardella holds 25.5% on Polymarket

Bybit
Changelly




Jessie A Ellis
Jun 29, 2026 22:20

After the U.S.



Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling as Bardella holds 25.5% on Polymarket

Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling as Bardella holds 25.5% on Polymarket

Trump Calls SAVE America Act “More Important” After Supreme Court Mail-Ballot Ruling as Polymarket Keeps Bardella at 25.

President Donald Trump said the SAVE America Act was now “more important” after the U.S. Supreme Court upheld a Mississippi rule counting some mail-in ballots that arrive up to five days after Election Day. On Polymarket’s “Next French Presidential Election” contract, pricing was flat at the top line, with Jordan Bardella leading at 25.5%.

Key Takeaways

  • Jordan Bardella led Polymarket’s “Next French Presidential Election” market at 25.5% implied odds.
  • Traders held pricing steady even as U.S. election-law headlines circulated, leaving the contract’s leader unchanged.
  • The market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-04-30, with the leader up 2.0 percentage points over 24 hours and 7 days.

President Donald Trump said the SAVE America Act was “more important” after the U.S. Supreme Court upheld Mississippi’s law allowing mail-in ballots that arrive up to five days after Election Day to be counted. Trump described the ruling as “very detrimental to honest elections.” The comments came after the court decision focused on the state’s rules for counting ballots received after Election Day. The article framed Trump’s remarks as a response to the ruling and its implications for election procedures. The piece identified the measure as the SAVE America Act and tied its urgency, in Trump’s view, to the court’s decision on mail voting.

Next French Presidential Election on Polymarket: $105.9M Matched Volume With Bardella 25.5% vs Philippe 18.5%

On Polymarket’s “Next French Presidential Election” market, Jordan Bardella was priced at 25.5% Yes versus 74.5% No, keeping him the leading outcome. Edouard Philippe traded at 18.5% Yes / 81.5% No, while Jean-Luc Melenchon stood at 11.5% Yes / 88.5% No and Marine Le Pen at 8.5% Yes / 91.5% No. Total matched volume was $105.9 million, and the headline odds were unchanged on the read at 25.5%, signaling stable positioning in the top candidate despite active trading depth across the field.

itrust

Traders will be watching whether the leader’s 25.5% pricing holds as liquidity shifts across the top tier, especially between Bardella (25.5%) and Philippe (18.5%), ahead of the market’s 2027-04-30 resolution date.

Beyond France 2027: Other High-Interest Polymarket Politics Markets Traders Are Tracking

Beyond the France 2027 tape, attention on Polymarket is also clustering around other big-ticket politics boards where liquidity is deepest and positioning can shift quickly. In the U.S., the “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” market has Gavin Newsom leading at 20.45% with $1,218,620,405 in matched volume. In Latin America, the “Brazil Presidential Election” contract prices Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 56.5% on $107,569,698 in volume, giving traders another read on how global political risk is being marked across the platform.

Odds Trend

Window Change (pp)
24h +2.0
7d +2.0

Implied odds (last 48h)25Odds %Jordan BardellaÉdouard PhilippeJean-Luc MélenchonMarine Le Pen

By the Numbers

  • Platform: Polymarket
  • Market: Next French Presidential Election
  • Contract type: Price strike ladder: each rung has separate Yes/No; Yes means the spot price is above that USD strike at settlement.
  • Resolution window: Apr 30, 2027 (UTC)
  • Status: Active (open for trading)
  • Volume: ~$105,900,303

Top strike rungs

Strike Yes No
Jordan Bardella 25.5% 74.5%
Édouard Philippe 18.5% 81.5%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11.5% 88.5%
Marine Le Pen 8.5% 91.5%

+32 more strikes not shown

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Sources

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Image source: Shutterstock





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