Bitcoin dropped 32% during the first half of 2026, according to a report by Binance Research. The analysis further indicates that the asset has recorded its third consecutive quarter of declines. According to the firm, the cryptocurrency is currently trading more than 50% below its all-time high of $126,080 reached in October 2025, hit by a global macroeconomic reassessment led by the Federal Reserve.
The analysis notes that the Fed’s shift toward a more hawkish stance and changes in global liquidity became the primary headwinds for the digital asset. Additionally, factors such as a record $4.5 billion in spot ETF outflows in June, selling pressure from miners, and a historic contraction of the Bank of Japan’s balance sheet weighed on Bitcoin’s performance, causing it to trade more as a liquidity-sensitive macroeconomic asset than a traditional safe haven.
Despite the correction, on-chain data indicates that the market has entered an advanced capitulation phase, positioning Bitcoin in a historical window favorable for a bottom formation toward the fourth quarter of 2026. With market dominance remaining strong between 57% and 60%, the next key step will be monitoring the evolution of central bank monetary policies and the stabilization of institutional inflows.
Source: https://goo.su/8UG8Qyd
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