Ethereum May End New ETH Issuance at 50% Staked Supply

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TLDR

  • Ethereum researchers proposed gradually burning newly issued validator rewards.
  • The burn rate would reach 100% when 60.25 million ETH is staked.
  • That staking level is valued at about $112 billion.
  • Validators would continue receiving transaction fees and tips.
  • The reward reduction would phase in over about 18 months.
  • Around 41 million ETH is currently staked.

Ethereum researchers have proposed a burn system that could reduce new ETH issuance to zero. The plan would fully burn validator rewards once about 60.25 million ETH is staked, worth roughly $112 billion.

The proposal aims to slow staking growth and limit dilution. It arrived before the Aug. 6 deadline for changes proposed for Ethereum’s Hegotá upgrade.

Ethereum Proposal Targets Zero Issuance

Under the plan, the network would burn a rising share of validator rewards. The burn rate would increase as more ETH enters staking and reach 100% when about half of Ethereum’s supply is locked.

The deduction would occur at the end of each epoch, which lasts about 6.4 minutes. Validators would keep transaction fees and tips, while only newly issued ETH would face the burn.

The proposal includes an 18-month phase-in period after activation. Developers also expect six months of preparation before the upgrade ships, giving validators two years to adjust.

Six researchers signed the draft, including Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake. The authors argue that staking rewards remain attractive even when participation reaches high levels.

They estimate staking yield could remain near 1.5% even if most ETH enters the system. Jérôme de Tychey projects staked ETH could exceed 70 million by January 2028 without changes.


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Staking Growth Raises Network Concerns

About 41 million ETH is staked, equal to nearly 34% of the supply. Another 2.5 million ETH is waiting in the activation queue, while the exit queue remains empty.

Ethereum limits daily validator entries and exits to reduce sudden network changes. Around 57,600 ETH can enter staking each day, creating waits of six weeks or longer.

The authors say excessive staking could push more ETH toward exchanges and large staking providers. They also warn that smaller independent validators could struggle as staking becomes more concentrated.

DeFi Groups Challenge the Plan

Aave Labs chief executive Stani Kulechov said lower staking rewards could weaken ETH borrowing strategies. Many users borrow ETH to buy staked ETH and depend on the yield spread.

Ether.fi founder Mike Silagadze criticised the review period. He said lower rewards could reduce staking demand and return more ETH to circulation.

The proposal may miss Hegotá because it lacks broad agreement and arrived near the deadline. A later Ethereum upgrade may allow more time for testing and debate.



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