Sánchez leads by 24,000 votes in Peru election, runoff set against Fujimori

Roberto Sánchez has widened his lead over Rafael López Aliaga by more than 24,000 votes with 95.88% counted in Peru’s first-round presidential election, and López Aliaga’s odds of winning the presidency have dropped to 1.9% YES, down from 4% yesterday.

The market for López Aliaga’s win has fallen steadily as Sánchez’s lead looks insurmountable. With the runoff scheduled for June 7, 2026, between Sánchez and Keiko Fujimori, López Aliaga’s odds have dropped from 8% a week ago to their current level. Daily volume is $21,560 in USDC.

The market requires $4,598 to move the price by 5 percentage points, which signals relative stability even as the odds have collapsed. The largest price move was a 1-point spike early in the day, driven by the latest vote count announcements. Remaining optimism for López Aliaga’s campaign is draining fast among traders.

For traders, the count confirms that López Aliaga will not be part of the runoff, which narrows the June 7 contest to Sánchez versus Fujimori. A YES share at 2¢ barely justifies a bet unless some unforeseen development, like a major recount reversal, materializes.

Watch for official statements or recounts from Peru’s National Jury of Elections or the National Office of Electoral Processes. Any formal confirmation of the standings, or any challenge to them, would be the next catalyst for price movement.

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