Analyst Explains the Real Reason BTC Is Stuck at $77,000 and Predicts a Rebound to $100k by October ⋆ ZyCrypto

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Bitcoin's 9-Month Bear Market May Be Ending as Short-Term Holder Cost Basis Falls to $69K


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Bitcoin is experiencing a fresh consolidation, a move that worries traders about a potential upcoming market fall. According to data shared today by analyst RadarXCrypto, BTC price remains stuck between $77,000 and $78,000, indicating heightened bearish pressure driven by weakened buying momentum. The development shows the flagship cryptocurrency is currently pulling back from its recent rally, which enabled it to break the $70,000 mark and even surpass the $80,000 level in the last few days.

On Wednesday, August 20, Bitcoin surged past $70,000 for the first time since May 31 after the US’s supportive crypto regulatory announcements fueled rebounds in the larger crypto market. The asset climbed further and reached $81,000 last week on Tuesday, August 25, an uptick that ignited enthusiasm among traders who believed that the bull market was just starting.     

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Bitcoin Experiencing New Consolidation and Why

However, after its notable climb to $81,000 last week on Tuesday, Bitcoin is experiencing a noticeable pullback. Today, the asset trades at $78,402 and is up 0.35% over the past week, showing a new corrective move. BTC has been consolidating within the $77,000 and $78,000 range since Thursday last week, August 27, with both bulls’and bears’ attempts appearing to be short-lived. Its continued trading around the range shows a lack of movement as the market is in equilibrium, indicating decreased aggressive demand and thus keeping the asset in a compression phase. This happens because both buyers and sellers are active, and neither side has enough strength to drive a clear, sustained move.

On-chain data revealed major factors behind BTC’s fresh consolidative price action. The escalation of U.S.-Iran tensions has again caused heightened volatility in the broader crypto market. Last week, Bitcoin entered the weekend with increased pressure as renewed geopolitical tensions between America and Iran caused the digital asset market to lose $70,000 billion in a single day. BTC and Ether dropped to $77,000 and $2,400, respectively, after over $170 million in long positions were liquidated that day. Analysts point to ongoing tension in the Middle East as a key driver of continued turbulence in the crypto market. The latest military activity has put pressure on BTC, pulling it back to around $77k-$78k after a recent rise above $80k.

What’s the Way Forward for BTC  

Analyst RadarXCrypto noted that BTC is stuck between $77,000 and $78,000, a development that happens for a reason. The analyst believes that the pullback is normal, as history is repeating itself.

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After strong bull markets, the asset often experiences 10-30% corrections, making the fall historically typical, according to the analyst’s market observation. In 2025, Bitcoin reached its peak of $126k in October and then dropped to the $80k level. Earlier this year, the asset climbed to a high of $97k and then fell to a low of $60k over most of the past few months. The pattern has appeared once again, as illustrated by the analyst.

However, by quickly finding support at the $77k-78k range, the asset’s fresh movement shows its bull momentum is not dying as buyers keep defending. With consolidation around this level, the analyst believes Bitcoin is laying the groundwork for a breakout toward the $98k-100k level soon (by October) and even a surge to higher levels thereafter (in the coming months).



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