As foreign investors dump $29 billion in Treasury bills, Washington pivots to stablecoin issuers to back US debt

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Foreign investors sent a net $133.5 billion into US financial markets in June. During the same month, they sold $29 billion of Treasury bills.

Those numbers describe two different tides in the same month. Most of the incoming money went into US stocks, while demand for government debt was much weaker. Foreign buyers purchased $181.4 billion of US equities and only $6.8 billion of long-term Treasuries. At the short end, they reduced the bills commonly used as a place to park cash.

That split helps explain why stablecoins have become part of Washington’s debt strategy. Issuers such as Tether and Circle keep much of the money backing their tokens in Treasury bills and closely related assets. If foreign buyers keep reducing their bill holdings, a larger stablecoin market could provide another, and potentially an equally large source of demand. June’s data show that the sector already has plenty of scale, while recent token issuance was far too small to explain the $29 billion sale.

Foreign investors wanted stocks more than cash-like debt

The Treasury International Capital report, usually called TIC, is a monthly record of money moving between the United States and the rest of the world. It combines purchases of securities with shorter-term banking flows, so the headline total can hide very different decisions underneath it.

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Here is the simplest way to read June.

What foreign investors did in June Net amount
Sent money into US securities and banking assets overall $133.5 billion
Bought long-term US securities $207.1 billion
Bought US equities within that long-term total $181.4 billion
Bought long-term Treasury notes and bonds $6.8 billion
Sold short-term Treasury bills $29.0 billion

The $181.4 billion equity figure can exceed the $133.5 billion total because the headline nets many incoming and outgoing flows against one another. Treasury-bill sales and $34.4 billion moving out through bank balance-sheet flows offset part of the stock buying. US residents also sent money abroad by purchasing foreign securities.

But while the accounting might be complicated, the basic message isn’t: foreign investors kept buying US assets, especially ownership in American companies. However, their appetite for government debt was modest, and they pulled money from its shortest maturity.

A Treasury bill is a US government obligation that matures in one year or less. Because investors get their money back quickly and the market is deep, bills are often treated as a close substitute for cash. Central banks, companies, money-market funds, and stablecoin issuers all use them for that reason.

Foreign holdings of short-term Treasuries fell from about $1.430 trillion in May to $1.400 trillion in June. The June sale equaled roughly 2% of the previous month’s holdings. It was also the second monthly reduction in a row: foreign investors sold $43.5 billion in May and $29 billion in June, for a two-month total of about $72.5 billion.

The data can’t tell us why those investors sold. The sales could reflect routine cash management or a preference for other assets. The mix points to a selective allocation across US markets: investors bought stocks, trimmed bills and kept the overall flow into the country positive. Treasury’s country-level table should also be read carefully because securities are recorded through custodians, which can obscure the owner’s true home country.

A stablecoin turns a dollar into demand for Treasury bills

The stablecoin connection is easier to understand through a single purchase. A customer gives an issuer $1 and receives one dollar token. The issuer now owes that customer a dollar at redemption, so it places the backing money in assets that can be sold quickly. Treasury bills fit that job extremely well, because there aren’t that many assets in the market that can be sold as quickly and as efficiently as they can.