Bitcoin eyes $83K as Trump pauses Strait of Hormuz military operation, Iran signals cooperation

Blockonomics
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Bitcoin climbed past $82,800 this morning as signs of de-escalation between the US and Iran boosted risk appetite, putting the asset within reach of $83,000.

The rally came after President Donald Trump said the US will temporarily halt its Strait of Hormuz escort mission, known as Project Freedom operation, following reported progress in negotiations with Iran.

Iran signaled that reopening the strait could be negotiated in stages, with early discussions focused on maritime access before other issues.

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said it would guarantee “safe, stable passage” through the Strait of Hormuz after claiming US threats had been “neutralized.” The group added that ships transporting arms to US military forces could be denied passage under the updated guidelines.

Phemex

Bitcoin rose from about $79,000 into the weekend to above $82,500 after the military pause announcement, with traders eyeing $83,000 as key resistance and further gains toward $90,000 to $100,000 if that level breaks, while market dominance climbed past 61% as capital concentrated in the largest token.

Elsewhere, renewed institutional appetite is flowing back into crypto funds, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording around $1 billion in net inflows so far this week, per Farside Investors. Wednesday alone brought in $467 million, with BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC emerging as the key drivers of demand across the sector.

Spot Ethereum ETFs have attracted nearly $159 million in net capital over the last two days.

The total crypto market capitalization has surged 2% to $2.8 trillion in the last 24 hours. Zcash and Toncoin led gains in this stretch.

Despite the upside move, analysts warn that derivatives markets signal restraint.

Implied volatility remains subdued at around 41%, short-dated vols have eased, and skew remains defensive, indicating continued demand for downside protection even as spot advances, according to QCP. The structure points to a controlled risk-on move rather than speculative breakout positioning.

Macro risks remain unresolved. Inflation pressures, elevated energy prices and high sovereign yields continue to constrain the backdrop, while Japan is seen as a potential liquidity inflection point due to yen weakness, rising bond yields and intervention risk.

Disclosure: This article was edited by Vivian Nguyen. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.





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