BTC Price Drops Below $73,000: US-Iran Tensions Push Outflows

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Ahmed Barakat

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Ahmed Balaha is a journalist and copywriter based in Georgia with a growing focus on blockchain technology, DeFi, AI, privacy, digital assets, and fintech innovation.

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Bitcoin News: BTC price broke below $73,000 on Thursday as Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targeted a US airbase in Kuwait, triggering a broad risk-off wave across global markets.

The geopolítica shock sent the total crypto market cap from $2.54 trillion to $2.45 trillion in a single session.

Over $800 million in combined Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF outflows on Thursday marked the largest single-day net redemption in weeks, amplifying spot price pressure well beyond what the geopolitical headline alone would imply.

[crypto-chart coin=”bitcoin”]

That $800 million figure did not arrive in isolation. Wednesday’s session had already logged $737.70 million in Bitcoin ETF outflows and $67.10 million from Ethereum funds, Thursday’s print extended a streak now running eight consecutive days of net trimming.

The institutional inflow narrative that carried BTC from $60,000 to its prior highs is, for now, fully reversed.

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Bitcoin News: ETF Outflows Extend Eight-Day Streak as Institutional Demand Collapses

Data confirms the combined two-day Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF outflow figure now exceeds $870 million, with the eight-session streak representing one of the most sustained institutional withdrawal runs since spot Bitcoin ETFs launched in the US.

Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow / Source: SoSoValue

ETF flows have now turned decisively against Bitcoin and Ether, with capital rotating toward perceived lower-beta crypto assets rather than returning to cash – a distinction that matters for reading the next move in precio BTC.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropped to 31 on Thursday, a reading that sits firmly in “Fear” territory and confirms the sentiment shift is not limited to derivatives positioning.

For the outflow streak to reverse, traders are watching for either a geopolitical de-escalation signal or a macro catalyst, a cooler CPI print or a dovish Fed statement, strong enough to restore appetite for high-risk allocations. Neither is currently on the immediate calendar.

How US-Iran Tensions Are Driving Crypto Risk-Off Behavior

The transmission mechanism here is direct: rising geopolitical risk in the Middle East pushes institutional allocators into defensive positioning, which means selling or reducing exposure to high-volatility assets first.

Bitcoin, despite its gold-narrative framing, behaves as a risk asset in acute stress events – not as a safe haven. Gold rose as oil climbed above $94 globally; Bitcoin fell. That divergence is the data point that explains the ETF redemption cascade.

Iran’s IRGC warned that “any further US attacks would trigger a more decisive response” and stated that “Washington bears responsibility for the consequences.” Asian equity markets, Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan, each dropped roughly 3% on Thursday pricing in the same risk.

Bitcoin’s liquidations amplified that move: over $900 million in total liquidations in 24 hours, with $873 million coming from long positions. Forced selling from leveraged longs accelerates spot price declines beyond what ETF outflows alone would produce.

Can Bitcoin Price Reclaim $74,000, or Does the Structure Now Point Lower?

Precio BTC is currently trading below $74,000, with that level now flipped from psychological support to immediate resistance.

Large-scale Bitcoin ETF movements and bearish price action have reinforced that the $73,000 zone. which analysts had identified as the line separating a bull-cycle correction from a structural breakdown, is now the ceiling to watch, not the floor.

The next meaningful support sits at the $70,500–$71,000 band, where significant buy-side order concentration has been identified in on-chain data.

Source: BTCUSD / Tradingview

A sustained break below $70,000 opens a path toward $68,000, where the 200-day EMA currently resides. RSI sits near 38 on the daily, below the signal line, a gap that flags downside momentum without yet reaching oversold territory, meaning there is room for further selling before a mechanical bounce becomes likely.

For a bull case, Bitcoin needs to reclaim and close above $74,000 on meaningful volume, then hold $73,500 as support.

That would signal the $70,500 floor held and that the correction is exhausted. For the bear case, a daily close below $70,000 would confirm a structural shift – not just a geopolitical reaction – and bring $68,000 into play as the next technical target.

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