Apple officially announced John Ternus as its next CEO, effective September 1, 2026, resolving the Polymarket “Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?” contract at YES. The announcement locks in Ternus’s succession, which […]
John Ternus, a 25-year Apple veteran, will become the company’s next CEO on September 1, 2026, resolving the “Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?” market in favor of YES. The NVIDIA largest-company-by-June […]
Mike Waltz’s use of Signal for coordinating military strikes is drawing scrutiny, and the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire extension by April 21 have fallen to 20.5% YES, down from 69% a week ago. The […]
JD Vance is heading to Islamabad for high-level US-Iran peace talks. The market for Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April sits at 43% YES, up from 36% yesterday. Traders pushed odds in […]
The probability of WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 1.2% YES, down from 2% yesterday, even as the Iran war has closed the Strait of Hormuz and taken over 12 million barrels […]
Iran has publicly dismissed Trump’s credibility, demanding any agreement to lift the Strait of Hormuz blockade be announced openly by the US. The odds of Trump announcing the blockade’s lift by May 31, 2026, sit […]
Most of the top 100 cryptocurrencies have charted some gains over the last day, yet Pi Network (PI) is once again among the losers. The cryptocurrency market saw a renewed uptick over the past […]
The U.S. Supreme Court has terminated key tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, triggering a $166 billion refund process starting April 20, 2026. The ruling dismantles a core piece of Trump’s economic nationalism […]
The International Maritime Organization is working on an evacuation plan for hundreds of ships stuck in the Persian Gulf, a development that has nudged the market for fewer than 10 ships transiting the Strait of […]
Iranian military commander Ali Abdollahi warned of an “immediate and decisive response” to hostile actions. Trump’s Hormuz blockade announcement market sits at 85% YES, down from 83% a week ago. Market reaction The Strait of […]
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