The White House has issued a Defense Production Act (DPA) memo to increase domestic petroleum production. US crude oil reserves falling to 325M barrels by May 1 is at 1.1% YES. The memo follows previous […]
Bitcoin is showing renewed strength after a sharp rebound, signaling that buyers are stepping back in at key levels. With momentum building and price pushing higher, attention is now shifting toward the $79,000 resistance zone, […]
A New York Times report indicates U.S.-Iran peace talks are set to resume, pushing the odds for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30 to 15.0% YES. Vice President JD Vance’s presence in Islamabad is […]
Funerals across Lebanon mark a pause in the conflict with Israel during a U.S.-brokered 10-day ceasefire. The market on Israeli suspension of offensive operations by April 30 holds at 100% YES. ## Market reaction The […]
Israel’s defense chiefs and most government ministers want to resume the conflict with Hezbollah, according to Ynet, putting pressure on Trump to reconsider his ceasefire endorsement. The market for Trump endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by […]
Donald Trump has invoked the Defense Production Act to fund energy projects aimed at curbing oil and gas prices, while the Polymarket contract on US crude oil reserves falling to 325M by May 1 sits […]
Pakistan is acting as intermediary in US-Iran ceasefire negotiations hosted in Islamabad. The ceasefire extension market for April 21 sits at 29.5% YES, down from 84% yesterday. The April 21 sub-market dropped nearly 20 points […]
The US-Israel conflict with Iran has disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, pushing fuel prices higher. The Polymarket contract on WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 1.4% YES, barely moving from 1% yesterday. […]
Lebanon has sidelined Iran in its peace talks with Israel, appointing Simon Karam, a former U.S. ambassador and Hezbollah critic, as its sole representative. The Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 market sits […]
The meme coin looks “so primed for a big move,” one analyst argued. The largest meme coin by market capitalization has rebounded 4% over the past week, with some analysts expecting the uptrend to […]
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