Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister confirmed no date has been set for further Iran-US talks, deepening the diplomatic standoff. The odds for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30 sit at 39.2% YES, up […]
US Special Envoy to the Middle East Tom Barrack has dismissed eliminating Hezbollah through military means, calling prosperity the solution. The market for Israel suspending its Lebanon offensive by April 30 is at 96.2% YES, […]
Bitcoin surged above $76,000 after Iran announced it would fully open the Strait of Hormuz. The Polymarket contract on Bitcoin price predictions for April now prices the chance of a dip to $60,000 at just […]
UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper called for a full resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. The market for Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing by the end of May […]
Two water truck drivers were killed by Israeli fire in Gaza, according to UNICEF. The market for Netanyahu’s potential exit by June 30 sits at 5.5% YES, down from 7% a week ago. Market reaction […]
Iran has reinstated restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, alleging US violations of a reopening agreement. The Polymarket contract on Trump lifting the blockade by May 31 holds at 85% YES, unchanged from a day […]
Two vessels attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz have reported gunfire incidents. The likelihood of the UK sending warships through the Strait by April 30 sits at 6% YES, down from 12% a week […]
The UN Security Council will convene following Ukraine’s request to address Russian shelling and civilian casualties. The odds of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30 are at 9.5% YES, down from 10% a week ago. […]
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) chairman and two Commissioners have highlighted the crypto industry as one of the top priorities […]
Astan Quds Razavi announced that the burial site for slain Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei remains undetermined nearly two months after his death. The market for no Head of State in Iran by end of 2026 […]
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