Roughly $13 million in user funds vanished from Russia crypto exchange Grinex in April 2026, and by the time the exchange suspended trading, the money was already moving fast across blockchain networks toward a single […]
Pakistan deployed fighter jets to escort an Iranian delegation following US talks in Islamabad, fearing an Israeli strike. The Polymarket contract on Iran striking Israel by April 30, 2026, sits at 100% YES. The escort […]
ECB’s Demarco has pointed to an adverse economic scenario tied to the Middle East conflict, and the odds of a 50+ bps rate decrease at the April meeting sit at 0.3% YES. Market reaction The […]
Cerebras and Rebellions have closed record funding rounds, but Polymarket’s odds on Nvidia being the largest company by market cap on June 30 have actually risen to 84.5% YES, up from 86% a week ago. […]
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei is set to enter the West Wing on Friday for a meeting with White House chief of staff Susie Wiles, in what could mark a turning point in the company’s dispute […]
Beirut MPs are advocating for the removal of all armed groups from the capital, including Hezbollah. The Israel military action in Greater Beirut market has seen odds drop by 15% in response. A delegation met […]
Tempo unveiled a new “Zones” feature Thursday aimed at giving enterprises bank-style privacy on public stablecoin rails, but not everyone in crypto is convinced the trade-offs are worth it. The payments-focused layer-1, co-developed with backing […]
Charles Schwab’s CEO announced the company has begun rolling out Bitcoin trading internally, with employees already trading. The market for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by December 31, 2026, sits at 38% YES. Market reaction Schwab manages […]
Iran surrendering its enriched uranium by April 30 trades at 41.9% YES, up from 13% a week ago, as Trump maintains pressure on Iran’s uranium enrichment while North Korea pushes forward with its own nuclear […]
Iran secretly acquired a Chinese spy satellite, the TEE-01B, during the 2024 Middle East conflict and used it to target US bases. The market for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026, sits at […]
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