Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Bitcoin flows into exchanges have dropped to levels not seen in over six years, and this could be the first of many […]
Stablecoin issuer Tether, the company behind USDt (USDT), said Thursday it will back a $150 million recovery program for the Drift Protocol decentralized exchange (DEX) following an exploit of the platform in April. The recovery […]
Eric Swalwell’s suspension from the California governor’s race has reshuffled the field. The market for Swalwell out as a U.S. Representative by May 31 sits at 100% YES, with his resignation from Congress confirmed. Market […]
Defense Secretary Hegseth warned the US would resume combat operations against Iran without a deal. Trump announcing the US-Iran ceasefire end by April 21 is at 8% YES, down from 13% yesterday. Market reaction The […]
Stephen Miran, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, predicts core goods and housing inflation will decline, potentially bringing 12-month PCE inflation to the Fed’s 2% target within a year. The Fed Rate Predictions for […]
Bitcoin is holding at $74,000 as the U.S. Dollar Index hits a 6-week low, with the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin being above $68,000 today priced at 99.9% YES. The dollar’s decline has supported Bitcoin, and […]
The Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April sits at 0% YES, with the April 30 sub-market still open and 14 days left to resolve. Traders see virtually no chance of WTI […]
John Williams of the Fed says inflation will be “well above” 3% in the coming months. The chance of the Fed cutting rates by April sits at 15%, down from 30% last week. Williams’ comments […]
The International Energy Agency warned Europe may face a jet fuel shortage in six weeks due to the ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade. The market on Strait of Hormuz traffic returning to normal by April […]
Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry confirmed it is still mediating between the US and Iran. The market for extending the US-Iran ceasefire by April 21 trades at 76.5% YES, down from 78% yesterday. Market reaction The US-Iran […]
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