Northern Israelis slammed the Lebanon ceasefire, accusing the government of enabling future massacres. Netanyahu decided not to hold a Cabinet vote on the ceasefire, and traders are now reevaluating the likelihood of a confirmed deal […]
The Strait of Hormuz closure has Gulf countries scrambling for alternative oil export routes. The market on traffic returning to normal by April 30 sits at 59.5% YES, down from 60% a day ago. Market […]
EU Council President Antonio Costa called for Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah during a fragile ceasefire period. The market for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30 sits at 99.2% YES. Costa’s remarks have pushed attention toward […]
US oil executives have advised President Trump to reject Iran’s $2 million “Hormuz toll,” complicating hopes for diplomatic resolution. The market for Trump agreeing to Iranian demands in April is at 38.5% YES, up from […]
Senate Democrats are scrutinizing Kevin Warsh’s $100 million in undisclosed assets, raising questions about his nomination as Federal Reserve Chair. The odds of Warsh’s confirmation are expected to decrease by 25% given partisan tensions and […]
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are approaching record closes in the final hour of trading, driven by optimism around a potential U.S.-Iran peace deal. The S&P 500 opening higher on April 16 is priced at […]
Publicly traded Bitcoin (BTC) mining companies sold more BTC in Q1 2026 than in all four quarters of 2025, as business conditions tighten for the mining industry. Publicly listed BTC miners, including MARA, CleanSpark, Riot, […]
Netanyahu has agreed to a 10-day ceasefire with Lebanon, brokered by Trump, to advance peace negotiations. The market for Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026 is at 99.0% YES. The temporary halt in […]
Trump’s warning of renewed hostilities if no ceasefire deal is reached has pushed traders further toward skepticism on a quick resolution. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 21 sits at 8% YES, while […]
As the global financial system moves toward greater efficiency, interoperability, and real-time settlement, the infrastructure behind domestic payments is undergoing a profound transformation. Governments and institutions are setting ambitious 2030 targets to modernize payment systems. […]
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