What to know:
- Bitcoin is tracking its typical July pattern despite a historically weak third quarter.
- Multiple technical signals point to a possible easing of bearish momentum near major support.
- Bitcoin dominance is testing a long-term ceiling that could determine whether altcoins begin to outperform.
Bitcoin has largely matched its average July performance so far. Historically, the third quarter has been the cryptocurrency’s softest period, delivering average gains of only about 6%, according to market analyst Daan Crypto Trades.
Traders often attribute this to lighter summer trading activity, thinner liquidity, and reduced volumes before volatility typically returns in the final quarter of the year.
Source: X
Also Read: TRON Price Eyes $0.3664 Target as the Network Revenue Hits New Milestone
Return to a Multi-Year Bitcoin Demand Zone
With this recent correction, BTC has found itself returning to the well-worn demand region, which spans from the middle $55,000 range all the way to the low $70,000 range. This region has been a guiding factor for the market’s movement starting from 2021 through the role of resistance and then subsequently support following the breakout seen in 2024.
While BTC has pulled back significantly from its record highs of $110,000, it seems like the pressure on the coin may be subsiding as the price approaches the lower end of the range.
Weekly RSI Signals Bullish Divergence
Analyst Chris observes a bearish divergence in the weekly Relative Strength Index. There are still lower lows in BTC, yet the RSI is rising. This may be the early indication that the downward momentum is losing its strength.
Source: X
Moreover, there is a formation of a falling wedge on the chart that is usually associated with a bullish reversal. BTC remains close to the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud, which may provide support for the crypto. However, a breakout from the wedge will increase the probability of further upside action.
Bitcoin Dominance Tests a Historic Ceiling
The focus now is on how much of the total crypto market belongs to Bitcoin. According to Crypto Patel, the dominance rate for Bitcoin has returned to between 64% and 70%, where it had peaked during previous cycles.
Whenever Bitcoin rejected the same rate during 2018 and 2021, other cryptos witnessed strong gains. The recent high for the Bitcoin dominance rate was around 64.1%. As long as the resistance level at 70% is broken and an upward trend of many years is violated, altcoins could attract more interest.
Source: X
Market Awaits the Next Breakout
Various technical signals have converged at the same time, and Bitcoin appears poised for a major reversal in its present trading cycle. Within the next few weeks, the results of which might determine whether Bitcoin continues on its course and whether the entire crypto industry heads towards an altcoin cycle.
Also Read: Dogecoin Price Prediction: Experts See 200% Rally After Major Bottom Signal
This article contains market analysis and price predictions. These are not guarantees. Crypto markets are volatile. Always DYOR. Not financial advice.
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