Current XRP Downtrend Resembles Triangle Setup That Led to 66,000% Surge in 2017

XRP could be repeating the same price pattern that came before its massive rally in the 2017/2018 market cycle. 

Latest market data suggests the asset is again moving within a symmetrical triangle, similar to the structure that eventually led to a remarkable 66,000% gain and pushed XRP to $3.31 nine years ago.

The first version of this symmetrical triangle played out over several years. Specifically, it started after XRP fell from its $0.0614 high in December 2013 and continued until the breakout in March 2017. 

Once XRP broke above the pattern, an impressive rally ensued. The token climbed more than 66,000%, rising from around $0.005 in March 2017 to a peak of $3.31 in January 2018.

XRP Has Formed A Bigger Triangle

The current symmetrical triangle is larger and took much longer to develop than the previous one. Unlike the first pattern, this one has formed over an entire market cycle.

This second triangle started forming after XRP dropped from its $3.31 peak in January 2018. The asset remained inside the pattern for years before finally breaking above the upper resistance line. 

XRP broke above the triangle’s main resistance line during the Trump-led November 2024 rally. The breakout triggered a strong move higher, sending the asset from about $0.5 to $3.4 by January 2018. After the rally, XRP pulled back before climbing again to a new all-time high of $3.6 in July 2025.

Notably, the rally did not continue immediately after reaching that peak. Instead, XRP entered a deep correction that brought it back toward the previous breakout area and rising macro support. This phase represents an important test of the long-term structure, as XRP currently remains in this broader downtrend.

RSI Shows Oversold Conditions

Despite the ongoing weakness, one key momentum indicator has moved into an area that previously marked strong accumulation zones. 

Notably, the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped into oversold territory at 41.85, near levels where XRP has historically attracted long-term buying interest.

Currently, the price remains weak, market sentiment has become exhausted, and much of the previous rally has faded. 

However, the broader breakout structure has not been invalidated. Importantly, traders should prepare for continued volatility, more testing of support, and a difficult path back upward instead of an immediate recovery.

History Suggests a Key Support Level

XRP’s current situation resembles what happened after the March 2017 breakout. Following that breakout, XRP dropped to $0.0075 in April 2017. The sudden decline brought the price back to the upper trendline of the triangle, allowing it to complete a successful breakout retest.

After finding support there, XRP resumed its rally and eventually reached $3.31 by January 2018. If buyers defend the present support area this time, the decline could become a normal post-breakout reset instead of the beginning of a larger structural breakdown.

The most important support zone now sits between $0.70 and $0.83, with $0.82 standing out as the key level. This area lines up with the upper trendline of the symmetrical triangle. Holding above that range would help XRP stay above the breakout level and keep the long-term bullish structure intact.