XRP defends $1.08 support as history hints at an early bottom before Bitcoin, though a deeper slide toward $0.86 remains possible.
XRP is holding near $1.09 as traders watch a familiar pattern play out.
The token has slipped 0.23% over the past 24 hours despite a small 0.46% gain across the week. Trading volume sits at $662,100,044, according to CoinGecko.
Analysts are now split on whether XRP’s current dip marks an early low ahead of Bitcoin, a pattern seen twice before in past market cycles.
XRP’s History Of Bottoming Before Bitcoin
Crypto analyst ChartNerd pointed to two prior midterm election years. June 2014 and June 2022, when XRP formed its macro floor months before Bitcoin confirmed its own bottom in the fourth quarter.
You might want to see this..$XRP has previously set its macro floor a few months ahead of BTC: June 2014 & June 2022 (both midterm years) marked the bottom well before BTC’s confirmation in Q4.
If $1.08 holds while BTC marks a new low, there is a slim chance the bottom is in.… https://t.co/7bLMJIK3v1 pic.twitter.com/xZSsFV5a2X
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) July 25, 2026
Both instances lined up with broader market cycles tied to political calendars. If $1.08 holds while Bitcoin sets a fresh low, ChartNerd noted a slim chance the bottom for XRP is already in place.
That pattern is not guaranteed to repeat.
ChartNerd also flagged 2018, another midterm year, when XRP’s decline stretched on longer than Bitcoin’s. Every midterm cycle since 2014, including the current 70% pullback into 2026, has brought bearish pressure on XRP.
From a data standpoint, the setup remains balanced, with no confirmed direction yet.
$1.08 Support Zone Faces Pressure
Trader Diana highlighted XRP trading near $1.095 as buyers work to defend the $1.08 zone.
The 4-hour chart shows price sitting below a moving average cluster near $1.11 to $1.12. Former triangle support has already given way, adding to the pressure on the level.
RSI readings sit near 39, below the signal line around 45, pointing to weak momentum despite a small bounce.
Two scenarios stand out from current levels. A hold above $1.08 with a reclaim of $1.11 to $1.12 could open the door toward $1.145, then $1.20, with $1.29 to $1.30 as the next major resistance.
A decisive break below $1.08 shifts focus to $0.91 as the first downside target, with $0.86 marked as the deeper macro support zone. From current pricing, a move to $0.86 would represent roughly a 21% decline.
Read also: XRP Sweeps Below $1.06, Then Buyers Show Up Fast
Traders Split On Next Move
Trader Jack described XRP as approaching a make-or-break level after a rejection near $1.15 sent price back down to the $1.08 zone.
A successful defense of that level could open a path back toward $1.12 to $1.15. A failed defense shifts attention to $1.05 as the next area of interest.
$XRP is approaching a make-or-break level. 👀
After getting rejected near $1.15, price has pulled back to the $1.08 support zone.
If buyers defend this level, a push back toward $1.12–$1.15 is on the table.
If support fails, $1.05 becomes the next area to watch.The biggest… pic.twitter.com/frRB98Vndd
— Jack (@WispOfDeFi) July 25, 2026
Jack framed the setup as one where reacting to price action matters more than predicting it in advance.
The mixed signals across chart watchers reflect a broader standoff in the market. Some point to XRP’s tendency to bottom early in past midterm cycles as a reason for cautious optimism.
Others note the same historical data includes a year where XRP’s losses ran deeper and longer than Bitcoin’s. With $1.08 acting as the current dividing line, traders are watching closely for which direction the level breaks.
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