NEAR Protocol Gained 124% in May. Three On-Chain Shifts Explain Why.

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NEAR Protocol Gained 124% in May. Three On-Chain Shifts Explain Why.

AI tokens are one of the most overcrowded trades in crypto right now. NEAR Protocol is making a case for being a structural exception – and the data behind it is specific enough to warrant a closer look.

Key Takeaways

  • NEAR is trading at $2.85-2.88, up from $1.27 exactly one month ago.
  • NEAR Intents crossed $20 billion in all-time transaction volume.
  • On June 4, NEAR joins Amazon Web Services and FailSafe for an AI event.

NEAR Protocol has gained over 124% in the past 30 days, moving from $1.27 to around $2.85 at time of writing. In the last 24 hours alone the token is up between 7% and 13%, while Bitcoin trades below $66,000. Several concrete events are converging this week that explain why capital is moving in this direction.

On June 4, NEAR is participating in a joint corporate event with Amazon Web Services and AI security firm FailSafe, centered on deploying autonomous AI systems into live business environments. A working partnership with AWS carries weight with institutional investors because Amazon is among the most aggressive corporate allocators to AI infrastructure globally right now. At the same time, NEAR Intents – the protocol’s system for executing transactions across different blockchains without manual bridging – officially crossed $20 billion in total volume, doubling that figure in just five months and processing over 25 million swaps in the process.

What NEAR Intents actually does and why $20 billion matters

The standard problem in crypto is that assets on different networks – Ethereum, Solana, Bitcoin – cannot interact directly. Moving value between them requires a manual “bridge,” which is slow, expensive, and carries smart contract risk. NEAR Intents removes that step: the user specifies what outcome they want, and the system finds the most efficient execution path automatically. At $20 billion in volume and $40 million in cumulative fees, this is a product generating real throughput, not a speculative roadmap item.

NEAR burns 30% of its transaction fees, and the remaining revenue goes toward buying tokens off the open market. More transactions means less NEAR in circulation – a mechanical relationship between network usage and token supply that does not depend on sentiment.

Inflation cut, fee switch, and the deflationary threshold

In late 2025, NEAR cut its maximum annual inflation from 5% to 2.5%, meaning significantly fewer new tokens enter the market each year. All protocol tokens are already unlocked – there are no pending venture capital release schedules hanging over the price. According to analysis from SVRN and The Tie, NEAR crosses into net deflationary territory once daily Intents volume reaches $177 million, meaning it burns more tokens than it creates. At current growth rates, that threshold is no longer a distant scenario.

In early 2026, NEAR activated a fee switch requiring all revenue generated by third-party distribution channels to be paid out in $NEAR tokens directly. This creates sustained buy pressure tied to actual product usage rather than market speculation.

Three moving averages crossed at once – and RSI is sending a mixed signal

In mid-May, NEAR broke above its 50, 100, and 200-day simple moving averages simultaneously. That does not happen often on the daily timeframe – when all three converge and price clears them together, it typically indicates a structural trend shift rather than a routine bounce. Price ran from approximately $1.40 to nearly $3.00 before consolidating back to the $2.20 range, and is now pushing toward that $3.00 level again.

NEAR Protocol chart from TradingView (1D) - 04.06.2026. Chart shows RSI, moving averages (50, 100, 200 SMA)
Source: TradingView

The 50 SMA currently sits at $1.721 and is acting as the primary dynamic support floor, with the 100 and 200 SMAs clustered below it. A sharp reversal would have to work through three converging support lines before the broader trend structure breaks down – which raises the bar for bears considerably compared to a single-line setup.

One thing worth flagging: RSI 14 is at 73.96, which sits in overbought territory. More specifically, the RSI did not make a new high alongside the latest price push back toward $3.00. That kind of divergence – where price moves up but momentum fails to confirm – is not a reversal signal on its own, but it is a reason to watch closely whether this second approach to resistance holds or fades. A clean break and daily close above $3.00 on strong volume would resolve the question. A second rejection at the same level would not.

How a data tool caught the move before anyone was talking about NEAR

Most price analysis starts with charts – candlestick patterns, volume bars, moving averages. What those tools miss is the difference between a buy order placed passively at a limit price and one placed aggressively at market, where a buyer is willing to pay whatever the current ask is. Aggressive market orders are the footprint of conviction, and tracking the balance between aggressive buyers and aggressive sellers gives a different picture than standard volume data.

That is what Alphractal’s Buy/Sell Pressure Delta measures – the raw imbalance between those two forces using on-chain order flow, stripped of any narrative overlay. For five months running into early 2026, NEAR’s delta sat deep in negative territory as price fell from $4 down to $1.50. Sellers were not just present – they were consistently overpowering buyers in the actual order data, regardless of whatever was being said about the project publicly.

When that reading crossed from negative to positive at the $1.50 level, Alphractal’s alert system flagged it. At the time, no notable analyst accounts were covering NEAR, exchange volumes looked normal, and derivatives funding rates were flat – none of the usual signals that traders watch were flashing. The shift was visible only in the order flow itself. The current delta stands at +112.107, with buy pressure at 7.692 against sell pressure at 2.142. Total derivatives open interest is approaching $713 million and 24-hour trading volume is up 34%.

1 million TPS, hardware-isolated AI agents, and 70 million Brave users

IDC projects over 1 billion actively deployed AI agents worldwide by 2029, executing more than 217 billion actions per day. A meaningful share of those agents will need to execute financial operations autonomously – payments, swaps, purchases across different networks. That requires infrastructure capable of handling very high transaction throughput at low cost and without manual oversight at each step.

NEAR has demonstrated 1 million transactions per second on public testnets using standard hardware. The protocol also developed IronClaw, an execution environment where code runs inside hardware-isolated containers called Trusted Execution Environments. In practical terms: an AI agent can process sensitive financial data or execute transactions without any server or network participant seeing the contents. Venice AI has already integrated this for private AI model inference, meaning users can interact with AI systems without the underlying infrastructure seeing their data.

 

Brave Browser – with over 70 million users – integrated NEAR Intents natively, enabling gasless cross-chain transactions for its existing user base without requiring any technical knowledge from the end user. Deutsche Telekom runs an active enterprise validator node on the network. The Bitwise NEAR Staking ETP, which gives European institutional investors direct exposure while capturing staking yield, recorded $7 million in fresh inflows immediately following the latest cross-chain and resharding announcements.

Capital rotation, Anthropic’s IPO filing, and what is actually verifiable

NEAR’s move coincides with capital rotating away from established crypto assets toward projects with specific AI infrastructure functions. Worldcoin and Humanity Protocol are moving in the same direction over the past 48 hours, with the timing overlapping with Anthropic’s IPO application filing and fresh infrastructure announcements from NVIDIA – both of which have pushed AI infrastructure broadly into focus for investors who had been sitting on the sidelines.

Whether $2.85 holds without additional catalysts is a separate question that the second test of $3.00 resistance will likely answer in the near term. What is independently verifiable: the network is processing real volume, the tokenomics are structured to reduce supply as usage grows, and the AWS and Deutsche Telekom integrations are not press release partnerships – they require real technical implementation and ongoing operational commitment from both sides.


The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Author

Александър Стефанов - Главен редактор на TradeNews

Alex is Editor-in-Chief of Coindoo and co-founder of Millennial Media Group, with nearly a decade of experience covering financial markets – crypto first, then everything else.

It started in 2016 with Bitcoin. Like most people at the time, he didn’t fully understand it – so he kept digging. Blockchain, tokenomics, the projects, the cycles. That curiosity never stopped, and eventually pulled him into traditional markets too: equities, commodities, macro. Not because he left crypto behind, but because you can’t properly understand one without the other.

What drives him is straightforward: he wants to know why something is happening, not just that it’s happening. Most market coverage stops at the headline – price up, price down, here’s a chart. Alex finds that kind of reporting actively unhelpful. If you walk away from an article without understanding the mechanism behind the move, what did you actually learn?

He holds a degree in Tourism from New Bulgarian University – not the most obvious path into financial markets, but markets have a way of pulling in people who are simply too curious to stay out. He has authored over 200 in-depth analyses and more than 10,000 articles across crypto and traditional finance. He still thinks every day in markets teaches him something new. That’s probably why he hasn’t stopped.





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