Rep. Sarah McBride said Tulsi Gabbard might be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet, and the Next to Leave Trump Cabinet market has moved on the claim, though the White House dismissed it.
Market reaction
McBride’s comments introduce fresh speculation around Gabbard’s future even after the White House denial. The market for Next to Leave Trump Cabinet could see a 15% increase in YES shares, driven by McBride’s direct mention of Gabbard. The price action so far is speculative rather than tied to any confirmed developments.
Why it matters
The December 31 market for potential exits has 251 days remaining. Past resignations of female officials under Trump have fed narratives of gender-based departures, which colors how traders price Cabinet exit markets. That long timeline gives McBride’s comments room to either gain traction or fade.
What to watch
Face value volume on the market is at zero, meaning no substantial trades have occurred yet. But the order book is thin: roughly $800 could move the price by five percentage points. A YES share pays $1 if a Cabinet member departs before 2027.
The question is whether McBride’s claim leads to anything concrete or stays political noise. Watch for formal announcements or any public statements from Gabbard herself. White House briefings and direct comments from Gabbard would move this market sharply in either direction.
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