Shiba Inu (SHIB) Loses 78% in One of the Most Important Metrics for Price

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As exchange withdrawals slow down, Shiba Inu is facing yet another potentially troublesome on-chain change. One of the signals that had previously supported a more bullish interpretation of the token’s exchange activity has been eliminated by the significant decline in the seven-day moving average of mean SHIB exchange outflows.

Shiba Inu peaks out

According to the most recent reading, mean exchange outflows are roughly 421.6 million SHIB, a decrease of 55.75% over the previous period. However, the contraction is closer to 78% when compared to its most recent peak. This is significant because persistent withdrawals from exchanges typically signify that tokens are shifting away from instantly accessible trading liquidity. 

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SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingView

The decline is more significant in light of the remaining exchange data. As of right now, total exchange inflows are roughly 239.28 billion SHIB, up 1.07%, while total outflows are roughly 236.97 billion SHIB, up 1.3%. Netflow is now positive at about 2.31 billion SHIB. To put it another way, SHIB is currently entering exchanges at a slightly higher rate than exiting them. 

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Deposits are surging

There is currently no indication of a significant wave of deposits because exchange reserves, at 87.19 trillion SHIB, are essentially unchanged. However, the prior supply-side advantage is eroding due to the combination of positive netflow and declining average withdrawals. 

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A slightly better picture is given by network activity. The number of transactions has increased by 1.22%, active addresses have increased by 1.13%, and active receiving addresses have increased by 1.29%. There hasn’t been a clear price breakout despite these slight gains. 

Right now, SHIB is trading at about $0.00000514. The token is still stuck in the vicinity of $0.0000050–$0.0000052, a dense cluster of shorter-term moving averages. The long-term moving average around $0.0000056–$0.0000057 continues to be the biggest barrier. 

A test of $0.0000056–$0.0000058 might be reopened if it rises above $0.0000054. However, losing $0.0000050 would expose about $0.0000048 and possibly $0.0000045. The 78% outflow contraction eliminates a potentially significant source of support at a time when the price is still technically vulnerable, but it does not ensure another SHIB sell-off.



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