Key Takeaways Polymarket’s June bitcoin market, with $6.22M in volume, prices a 62% chance BTC drops to $60,000 or below. Kalshi’s $60K-vs-$100K contract gives bitcoin an 83% probability of hitting $60K first before year-end 2026. […]
Prediction markets used to be a scrappy corner of crypto. Now they’re a boardroom fight. If you’re deciding where to trade — or which rails will win institutional adoption — the real contest isn’t just […]
Kalshi built its brand around regulated prediction markets. Now it’s stepping into crypto perpetual futures, bringing onshore leverage to U.S. traders under CFTC oversight. This article explains what’s changing, how the new contracts are structured, […]
TLDR Prediction markets now assign a strong probability that Bitcoin falls below $55,000 this year. Kalshi traders price a 50 percent chance of Bitcoin dropping under $50,000. Polymarket contracts show only a 30 percent chance […]
Key Takeaways Kalshi sued the state of Minnesota on May 28 to block SF4760, a felony ban set to take effect August 1, 2026. The CFTC filed its own suit against Minnesota within 24 hours […]
Prediction market Kalshi filed a federal lawsuit against a Minnesota bill to criminalize operating, hosting or promoting such a platform in the state starting Aug. 1. The filing follows a motion filed by the Commodity […]
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has now opened the path for Coinbase and other CFTC-registered exchanges to offer regulated access to global crypto derivatives markets. Related Reading Coinbase Offers Access To Global Crypto […]
Key Takeaways Historic CFTC approval opens the door for regulated bitcoin perpetual trading. Offshore-dominated crypto derivatives markets now have a U.S. regulatory pathway. Additional products could follow as exchanges test the CFTC’s review process. CFTC […]
Event markets have jumped from niche to mainstream, pricing elections, macro prints, and real-world outcomes in real time. But with sharper liquidity comes sharper concerns: who knows what, and when? The latest Polymarket insider-trading flap […]
Key Takeaways Josh Stevens denied adding KYC to existing Polymarket services but faces Kalshi pressure to comply next. On May 22, James Comer launched a probe into Kalshi and Polymarket over compliance and insider trading […]
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