As such, Allium can tie only about 6% of Polymarket’s political-market wallets to a country – so the firm says the figures should be read as directional rather than exact. Polymarket did not immediately respond […]
Key Takeaways France holds a 35.4% chance to win the World Cup on Polymarket’s $3.9 billion market. Kalshi’s World Cup market reached $961,962,750 in volume, with France trading at 35.5%. Prediction platforms processed $50.69 billion […]
Some exchanges reported that nearly half of new users placed their first-ever prediction trade on soccer matches. The FIFA World Cup’s round of 16 matches are set to kick off on July 4, and […]
TLDR Spotify asked Kalshi and Polymarket to remove branding after manipulated streams affected music betting markets. More than 500,000 artificial streams pushed Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” higher before Spotify completed review process. Kalshi’s Spotify song market […]
TLDR Kalshi and Polymarket recorded a combined $44.8 billion trading volume in June, marking a 75% increase from May. Kalshi led the growth with an 87.4% surge, reaching $31.5 billion in monthly trading volume. Polymarket’s […]
Key Takeaways Arkham Intelligence launched Prediction Market Elo on June 29, 2026, ranking Polymarket traders by accuracy rather than profit or volume. GardenerCx holds the top Elo score of 2389 with a 66.1% win rate […]
The rapid consolidation of the prediction market technology stack is raising the odds of a new wave of mergers and acquisitions across sports betting and financial markets, according to Wall Street broker Bernstein. Over the […]
Key Takeaways Kalshi traders assign a 76% probability that bitcoin hits $50,000 before $100,000, up 35% in recent weeks. Polymarket’s $45M annual bitcoin market prices a 64% chance BTC falls to $50,000 or lower before […]
A compromised third-party vendor gave hackers a way in, and around $3M was stolen from Polymarket users. The vulnerability has been patched, and every affected user will be made whole. The platform for predicting market […]
Key Takeaways A trader netted $8.47 million in a day thanks to bets on the Sweden-Japan and Ecuador-Germany games. The Sweden-Japan match ended 1-1, paying the trader about $4.38 million on a $7.19 million position. […]
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