Key Takeaways Bitbank froze accounts tied to Polymarket on June 15, 2026, cutting off all login, trading, and withdrawal functions. Japan’s Penal Code Article 185 classifies crypto event-contract trading as gambling, with fines up to […]
Prediction markets promise truth by price. But if the fine print is murky, the best forecast can still lose at settlement. On Polymarket, the difference between “what happened” and “what counts” often lives in a […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket’s $42.7M bitcoin 2026 market gives just 19% odds to a $100K price, with 53% betting on a sub-$50K dip. Kalshi traders set a $66K year-end forecast on $25.8M in volume, with the […]
Key Takeaways Amazon CEO Andy Jassy reportedly flagged Fable 5 jailbreak findings to Trump officials on June 12, triggering a global shutdown. Polymarket traders price a 71% chance that Anthropic restores Fable 5 access by […]
Key Takeaways Trump posted on Truth Social that the so-called Iran deal signing is set for June 14, with the Hormuz Strait reopening immediately after. Iranian spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei denied a Sunday signing, citing U.S. […]
The 2026 World Cup begins on June 11, and TopNod today launched ‘TopNod Million Cup’, a free-to-play World Cup prediction campaign. The non-custodial wallet announced the TopNod Million Cup, a tournament-long prediction game launched in […]
On June 10, the CFTC sketched a formal 90‑day review track for controversial event contracts. Within weeks, Polymarket’s U.S. affiliate quietly filed for parlay‑style sports markets, and Kalshi secured a first‑of‑its‑kind perpetual futures approval. For […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket and Kalshi together have drawn over $2 billion in 2026 World Cup winner market volume. Spain leads Polymarket and Kalshi at 16.5% and 17.4% respectively, with France close behind at 16%. Mexico […]
Key Takeaways CFTC proposed a June 10 framework with a 90-day review for certain event contracts. Kalshi gains clearer rules, while Polymarket may benefit from reduced regulatory uncertainty. CFTC’s comment period runs 30-90 days; new […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket gives a 60% probability Claude Mythos launches publicly by end of June 9, with $42,212 in volume. Anthropic’s Project Glasswing found 10,000+ critical vulnerabilities; a public Mythos release would add guardrails. Kalshi’s […]
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