Key Takeaways ESMA said event contracts that qualify as financial instruments are already barred from EU retail sale under binary-options rules. The prohibition rests on national measures in force since 2018, so no new legislation […]
Key Takeaways Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket U.S. traded a combined $44.8B in June, up 75% from May’s $25.66B. Kalshi took the largest share at $31.5B, roughly 70% of the total, growing 87% month over month. […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket now credits bitcoin Lightning deposits in under 1 second via Spark, versus 10–60 minutes onchain. Spark validates BTC transfers at broadcast, replacing the 3–6 confirmations Polymarket required since October 2025. Kalshi’s $5.42 […]
Key Takeaways Kalshi contracts on Platner exiting before July 14 hit an all-time high of 82%, rising to 97% by late July. The Maine Senate winner market swung on the news, with Democrats holding a […]
Key Takeaways LeBron James left the Lakers in July 2026 after eight seasons, ending his tenure there. Kalshi prices a Cleveland return at 55%, with $70.7 million wagered on his next team. Polymarket has Cleveland […]
Traders have become highly active in FIFA World Cup markets, increasing sensitivity to any misleading automated alerts. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has said the exchange is investigating an AI-generated prediction market alert after the […]
Key Takeaways FIFA suspended Folarin Balogun’s red card, fueling a prediction market with $300K in trading volume. Trump admitted calling FIFA’s president to review the ban, sparking controversy over political interference. Belgium officially contested Balogun’s […]
Key Takeaways Kalshi traded about $402M and Polymarket $57.7M on Mexico-England. England’s win probability swung sharply on Jarell Quansah’s 54th-minute red card before recovering. A separate $1M Nevada sportsbook bet on Mexico to advance was […]
In the Nevada Supreme Court, Kalshi lost an effort a few days ago to halt a requirement that it block its customers in the state from much of the platform’s trading activity. The denial signed […]
Key Takeaways France holds a 35.4% chance to win the World Cup on Polymarket’s $3.9 billion market. Kalshi’s World Cup market reached $961,962,750 in volume, with France trading at 35.5%. Prediction platforms processed $50.69 billion […]
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