Key Takeaways Polymarket and Kalshi together have drawn over $2 billion in 2026 World Cup winner market volume. Spain leads Polymarket and Kalshi at 16.5% and 17.4% respectively, with France close behind at 16%. Mexico […]
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has unveiled its first regulatory framework for prediction markets, releasing what it described as a proposed approach to governing the industry under American law. The plan, issued by […]
Key Takeaways CFTC proposed a June 10 framework with a 90-day review for certain event contracts. Kalshi gains clearer rules, while Polymarket may benefit from reduced regulatory uncertainty. CFTC’s comment period runs 30-90 days; new […]
ADI Predictstreet went live June 8 and now trades in 23 U.S. states via Fanatics Markets. Gibraltar granted ADI its first prediction-market license in a reported nine days. ADI traces to Abu Dhabi’s IHC through […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket gives a 60% probability Claude Mythos launches publicly by end of June 9, with $42,212 in volume. Anthropic’s Project Glasswing found 10,000+ critical vulnerabilities; a public Mythos release would add guardrails. Kalshi’s […]
Kalshi named Sportradar its official data and odds provider across MLB, NHL, MLS and the UFC. Kalshi gains two Sportradar integrity tools (UFDS AI and the Integrity Exchange) to flag suspicious trades. About 11 states […]
Key Takeaways CME’s Fedwatch tool shows a 98.2% probability the Fed holds rates at 3.50%–3.75% on June 17, 2026. Kevin Warsh, confirmed 54-45 and sworn in May 22, leads his first FOMC meeting this month. […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket and Kalshi hit $2B in World Cup bets before June 11, next disrupting old sportsbooks. A SEON survey shows 19% of US adults favor prediction platforms, squeezing crypto betting apps. Minnesota and […]
Chicago-based trading giant DRW has spent decades profiting from mismatches between different asset classes, and now it’s building a dedicated prediction market desk targeting platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. The move is one of […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket’s “Imitators” dossier logs roughly a dozen incidents it says show Kalshi copying its launches. Kalshi overtook Polymarket in April 2026 with $5.42B in taker volume to Polymarket’s $1.99B, per Dune. Polymarket tinted […]
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