Key Takeaways Polymarket launches the first prediction markets tied to private companies, using Nasdaq Private Market data to resolve outcomes. Nearly 1,600 unicorns hold over $5 trillion in value, a pool previously inaccessible to retail […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket’s bitcoin May price market hit $21.4M in volume, with 79% odds BTC stays below $75,000. Kalshi’s $150K bitcoin series (KXBTCMAX150) drew $33.9M in volume, giving BTC only an 11% chance before January […]
Key Takeaways Nine Polymarket accounts netted over $2.4M with a 98% win rate on U.S. strikes, triggering insider alarms. Over $1B has been bet on military outcomes, bleeding into commodities like an $800M drop in […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket and Kalshi traders have moved $5.5M in combined volume on KY-04, with Gallrein at 52%. Super PACs backing Gallrein have spent $14M+, making KY-04 the costliest U.S. House primary ever. Massie trails […]
Prediction markets are increasingly being built on a small number of liquid venues, but accessed through a growing number of interfaces. Wallets, exchanges, and fintech apps are emerging as the main entry points, shifting competition […]
Big news for traders! Interactive Brokers, the popular brokerage firm listed on Nasdaq as IBKR, just rolled out a new unified prediction markets platform. This exciting launch brings together event contracts from top players like […]
Key Takeaways NPR documented third Polymarket insider trading pattern in three months on May 7, 2026. Senate Res. 708 banned member and staff prediction-market trading by unanimous consent April 30. CFTC charged Master Sgt. Van […]
Key Takeaways Judge Conley issued first federal IGRA ruling siding with tribe against Kalshi on May 11, 2026. Wisconsin ruling reverses November 2025 California precedent that denied three tribes a similar block. Ho-Chunk case includes […]
Key Takeaways Polymarket traders assign a slim 11% chance that bitcoin hits $150,000 by December 31, 2026. Kalshi data shows a 47% probability of bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 milestone during 2026. Total volume across major […]
Key Takeaways Draftkings CEO Jason Robins eyes “top two or three” global market-maker spot via the Railbird exchange. Flutter began market-making for a major third-party prediction platform in April; own platform launches soon. Flutter cut […]
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